Umgqatswa kamongameli wase-US Libertarian Party uGary Johnson(Ifoto: UNICHOLAS KAMM / AFP / imifanekiso kaFetty) Ngababini abagqatswa abangabaongameli abangababini abahamba phantsi kweepesenti ezingama-40 zokuvunywa kwemilinganiselo- kunye nolutsha nje Iipolisi zeReuters / Ipsos ibonisa ngaphezulu kwesihlanu sabantu abangabavoti abangafuniyo ukuvotela nokuba yeyiphi-abanye bacinga ukuba ngunyaka lowo umntu ozokumela iqela lesithathu angenza ingxolo. Kwaye nguLibertarian uGary Johnson, owayesakuba yirhuluneli yeRiphabhlikhi yaseNew Mexico, obonakala ngathi ukulungele ukuxhamla.
Kwi Iipota ezisixhenxe ithathwe ngoJuni 26 ukuya kuJulayi 12, uJohnson ulinganise phantse iipesenti ezisibhozo, kwaye kwezintathu zakutshanje, uthelekisa ngaphezulu kweepesenti ezili-10. Umyinge wokulungela iingxoxo zikamongameli oqala ngo-Septemba ziipesenti ezili-15, kwaye uJohnson kunye nabaxhasi bakhe bakholelwa ukuba ukuba irhuluneli ebelinokufika eqongeni kunye noMdemokhrasi uHillary Clinton kunye neRiphabhlikhi uDonald Trump, angaphakama.
Imbali ibonisa ukuba loo nto inokuba yinto elula, nangona kunjalo. Ngokubanzi, iqela lesithathu kunye nabagqatswa abazimeleyo abaphumeleleyo kwizabelo ezikhulu ngokungaqhelekanga kwivoti kaNovemba babone amanani abo aphezulu okuvota ehlotyeni, kuphela ukuba kuphele njengoko iindibano zeRiphabhlikhi kunye neDemokhrasi zigqityiwe kwaye amaphulo aqala ukutshintsha .
Imizekelo yakutshanje yeli qela lomntu wesithathu inokufumaneka kwiphulo lika-1992 lika-Ross Perot kunye nephulo lowe-1968 elenziwe ngu-Alabama Governor Governor George Wallace.
Ngo-1992, bedibene noMongameli waseRiphabhlikhi ongathandekiyo uGeorge HW UBush kunye nomceli-mngeni wakhe ophethe umthwalo we-Democratic, uBill Clinton, uPerot wazifumana ekhokela ipakethi ngoJuni, uGallup embonisa kwiipesenti ezingama-39. UBush noClinton balandele kakubi ngeepesenti ezingama-31 kunye neepesenti ezingama-25 ngokwahlukeneyo. UPerot, othe okwethutyana-kwaye engaqhelekanga-waphuma kumdyarho ngaphambi kokuphinda abuyele emva kwexesha, ekugqibeleni wafumana nje ngaphantsi kwe-19 yepesenti kwiitotali zokugqibela zeevoti. Ngelixa yayisesona sibini sibalaseleyo kwiqela lesithathu elibonisa kwimbali yase-US, yayimele ilahleko engaphezulu kwesiqingatha senkxaso yokuvota eboniswe nguPerot ehlotyeni.
Ukubuyela emva ngo-1968, uWallace wanyuka waya kufikelela kwiipesenti ezingama-23 kulonyulo loluntu ngehlobo, kodwa ekugqibeleni wagqiba ngeepesenti ezingaphantsi kwe-14 ngo-Novemba. Nangona uWallace engazange athathwe njengesoyikiso esikhulu sokuphumelela unyulo, eyona njongo yephulo lakhe yayikukuphumelela amazwe aseMazantsi ngokwaneleyo ukuba akhanyele iRiphabhlikhi uRichard Nixon okanye uDemocrat uHubert Humphrey inani elifunekayo leevoti zonyulo. Ukuba uWallace waphumelela, oku ngekwakuphose unyulo kwiNdlu yabaMeli, apho abameli baseMazantsi babenokukhupha amalungelo kumalungelo oluntu. Kodwa ukuphela kwakhe kade, uWallace waphumelela kwiindawo ezintlanu kuphela (iAlabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana naseMississippi), kwaye uNixon watshabalalisa uninzi lwamazwe aseMazantsi aseleyo ukuphumelela unyulo.
Kukwabalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba uJohnson wafumana kuphela iipesenti ezingama-0.99 zevoti xa wayebaleka njengeLibertarian ngo-2012, kwaye kuyinto engaqhelekanga kakhulu kuye nawuphina umntu wesithathu okanye umgqatswa ozimeleyo ukugqitha loo mali ipheleleyo. Kodwa u-2016 ubumba ukuba ube ngunyaka ongaqhelekanga apho inkqubela-phambili engalunganga kunye nokusekwa kwamazwe aseRiphabhlikhi kusenokwenzeka ukuba athengise enye indlela. Kukhuselekile ukuba uJohnson uzakuseta irekhodi yepesenti ephezulu yevoti yelizwe ephumeleleyo nguLibertarian ukusukela oko kwasekwa iqela ngo-1971, kodwa ke ibhar ephantsi: iipesenti ezi-1.06 ngo-1980.
UJohnson angayityumza loo rekhodi ngendlela enkulu, ukuba sijonga amanani akhe okuvota aphindwe kabini kuphando lwakutsha nje, kodwa imbali ibonisa ukuba amanani anokuphela emva koSuku lwaBasebenzi, kwaye kusenokwenzeka ukuba ngenxa yeso sizathu sobumbano lukaWallace lwaphela Ngo-1968. Njengokuba olo nyulo lwalunxiba kwaye kwacaca nakwabaxhasi bakaWallace abalahlekisiweyo ukuba akanako ukuphumelela, uninzi lwabavoti abanokubakho bakaWallace bagqiba kwelokuba baxhase uNixon kunokuba bamoshe iivoti zabo. Ngenxa yoko, uNixon waphumelela iCarolinas kunye neTennessee kancinci eWallace, naseOhio, New Jersey naseMissouri ngomda omncinci phezu kweHumphrey, ukufumana uninzi lweKholeji yoNyulo.
Ukongeza, kufanelekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba ngaphezulu kweepesenti ze-13 zabavoti bavakalise injongo yokuxhasa u-Barack Obama okanye u-Mitt Romney ngo-2012, kodwa ekugqibeleni, malunga neepesenti ezimbini kuphela abavotele abanye abagqatswa. Iipesenti ezingama-21 zangoku ezithe zaxela i-Reuters-Ipsos ukuba azicwangcisi ukuvotela uClinton okanye uTrump kusenokwenzeka ukuba zitshabalale ngokubonakalayo njengoko kucaca ukuba omnye wabo babini abagqatswa uza kunyulwa njengo-Mongameli ngo-Novemba.
Imbali ayisoloko ifundisa, iyinyani. Phambi konyaka ka-2004, akekho umongameli owayenyuliwe nangona wabeka isibini kwivoti ethandwayo owakhe waphumelela ikota yesibini, kwaye lo mthetho wembali wawuhamba ngeebhodi ngokuphumelela kuka George W. Bush ku John Kerry. Imithetho, njengoko ihlala isitsho, yenziwe ukuba yaphulwe. Nangona kunjalo, imbali ibonisa ukuba uJohnson, okwangoku ophuma ngaphandle ngeepesenti ezili-12, uza kujongana nedabi elinzima lokutyhala amanani akhe ngaphezulu komyinge we-15 wepesenti ofunekayo ukumbeka kwinqanaba lengxoxo. Ukuba izinto azibi mbi ngakumbi kuClinton okanye kuTrump, amathuba kaJohnson okuba afike kwelo nqanaba avele ixesha elide.
Inqaku lombhali: IQela leCrasher libulela uDavid F. Wallace waseWashington, D.C., ngokucebisa ngesihloko sale veki.
Ukubhengezwa: UDonald Trump nguyisezala kaJared Kushner, umpapashi we-Braganca Media.
UCliston Brown sisigqeba sezonxibelelwano kunye nomhlalutyi wezopolitiko eSan Francisco Bay Area owayekade esebenza njengomlawuli wezonxibelelwano kummeli weDemokhrasi omde eWashington, DC Mlandele kuTwitter (@ClistonBrown) undwendwele iwebhusayithi yakhe ClistonBrown.com .
