UNigel Farage.Ifoto nguJeff Spicer / Getty Izithombe Nabani na obukele uNigel Farage kumabonwakude waseMelika uhlala ephathwa okomzuzwana xa umphathi ethetha ngamathuba okuba yinkulumbuso yase-Bhritane. Bahlala besebenzisa amabinzana anje ngokuba abanye bacebise ukuba ungaba yi-PM elandelayo, kodwa kude kube kutshanje, ithemba lalingenakulindeleka ukuba uFarage angabinayo imbumbulu ngokwaneleyo ukuba avakalise umdla kuyo.
Kodwa njengokuba i-Bhritane ingena kwinyanga yesibini yokuba kwi-European Union emva komhla wokucwangciswa kwayo, amathuba okuba yinkulumbuso uFarage akhula ngokukhawuleza.
Bhalisela iNcwadana yezepolitiki yaBakhangeli
Emva kwesimangalo saseBrexit, uFarage uthathe umhlala phantsi njengenkokeli ye-United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) kwaye wayezimisele ukuma njengelungu lePalamente yaseYurophu. Nangona kunjalo, kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo, waseka iBrexit Party emva kokuba kucacile ukuba iBritane iyakunyanzeliswa ukuba ithathe inxaxheba kunyulo lwaseYurophu ngoMeyi 23.
Phantse ngoko nangoko iBrexit Party yaba lilungu elibi kakhulu kwizikhululo zaseYurophu. Ngempelaveki, ipati waba namandla ukuba ngoku kulindeleke ukuba ifumane ngaphezulu kwamaQela oLondolozo kunye naBasebenzi ngokudibeneyo.
- Iqela leBrexit: iipesenti ezingama-34 (+6)
- Umsebenzi: iipesenti ezingama-21 (-7)
- Iidemokhrasi zeLiberal: iipesenti ezili-12 (+5)
- I-Conservatives: iipesenti ezili-11 (-3)
Ezi ziindaba ezimnandi zeBrexit Party kodwa ayisiyiyo inguqu yomdlalo njengoko iqala ukubonakala. UFarage iphumelele unyulo lokugqibela lwaseYurophu ngo-2014 kunye ne-UKIP, kodwa oku akuzange kuguqulele kwisihlalo esinye kwiNdlu yeeNdlu ngexesha lonyulo jikelele kunyaka olandelayo.
Eyona nto yothusayo yeyokuba ezimbini zonyulo jikelele ngempelaveki zibonisa iBrexit Party kwindawo yesibini okanye yesithathu, into engazange yenzeke ngaphambili. Iziko lonyulo i-Opinium libeke i-Nigel Farage's Brexit Party kwiipesenti ezingama-21 kwi-Conservatives ka-Theresa May kwiipesenti ezingama-22. Ngelixa, inkampani yokuvota kunye nenkampani yophando yentengiso yeComRes ineFarage kwiipesenti ezingama-20 xa kuthelekiswa ne-19 yepesenti kaMeyi.
Zombini ezi polls zazinombutho weLabour Party ngaphambili, ngama-27 nama-28 epesenti ngokwahlukeneyo.
I-Telegraph yemihla ngemihla , eyalela ukuvota kweComRes, uqikelela ukuba oku kuya kunika uFarage izihlalo ezingama-49 kwezingama-650 kwiNdlu eNkulu yeziManyano ngenxa yokonyulwa ngo-2022. Kodwa okona kubaluleke nangakumbi kukuba, ebekhwela kulonyulo rhoqo ngeveki kwaye akukho mntu waziyo phezulu amanani akhe azokuhamba.
Izihlalo ezingama-49 zizonke ziya kuba sisiphumo sepati entsha e-Bhritane, kodwa akukho sizathu sokukholelwa ukuba eli nani alizukuba likhulu ngeli xesha i-UK ivota ngoMeyi 5, 2022.
I-Conservatives ngoku iyothuka ngenxa yokunyuka kweFarage, ubuncinci ngenxa yokuba amalungu ayo Ukusa kumoya ukumxhasa esidlangalaleni. Umbutho wenze kakubi kakhulu kunyulo lwasekhaya kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo, ukulahlekelwa phantse ngo-1,300 kooceba , kwaye kwakungekho ngaphandle kweBrexit Party kwivoti.
Kwixesha elizayo, abavoti baya kuba nokhetho phakathi kwamaqela amabini alondolozayo: iBrexit Party kunye neQela laseConservative.
Iqela elilahliweyo le-Conservative Party linokuhamba ngokulula ngendlela efanayo neqela lodade wabo, i-Ulster Unionists. Zaphulukana nazo zonke izihlalo zayo kwiNdlu yeeManyano emva kwesindululo senkqubo yoxolo yaseNyakatho yeIreland kwiQela leDemocratic Unionist, iqela elinemigaqo-nkqubo efanayo kodwa linomthwalo omncinci.
Ukuba ama-Conservatives ayayeka ukuba lelona gama liphezulu kwi-Conservatism yase-Bhritane, i-Brexit Party inokuyithathela indawo. Kwaye ukuba loo ndawo incinanana iza, utshintsho olunokwenzeka ngokukhawuleza, kunye nezigidi zabavoti kunye namawaka ooceba abatshintshayo.
UFarage usixelele ukuba ireferendamu yaseBrexit yinyikima; Kunzima ukwazi ukuba ungawongeza njani lo mfanekiso kuye ukuba abe yinkulumbuso. Nangona kunjalo, ngoku inokwenzeka into ecacileyo, kwaye ithumela umothuko kudidi lwezopolitiko e-Bhritane.
