Elinye lamafa anyamezelayo kugqatso luka-Bush Bush-Gore lowama-2000 kukusetyenziswa kwemibala 'eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka' kunye nobomvu ukuchonga amazwe eDemocratic and Republican, ngokwahlukeneyo. Oku kongezwa kwimbono yezopolitiko yaseMelika kubangelwe yimibala kwimephu ye-NBC yoNyulo yoNyaka ka-2000 esetyenziselwa ukufumanisa amazwe athwalwa ngumgqatswa kaMongameli ngamnye.
Kule minyaka ilishumi, ibubulumko obuqhelekileyo ukuthi iNew Jersey ngokuqinisekileyo 'iluhlaza'. I-New Jersey ngokuqinisekileyo ibingumbuso oluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka kule minyaka ilishumi ngokujonga u-1) i-Democrat ibambele kwirhuluneli nakwindlu yowiso-mthetho ukusukela ngo-2002; 2) ubhaliso lwabo lokuvota; 3) babambe izihlalo zozibini zeNdlu yeeNgwevu yase-U.S. Ukusukela ngo-1979; kunye no-4) ukugcinwa kwabo kuninzi lwabameli beNdlu yaseMelika yaseNew Jersey ukusukela kunyulo luka-1998.
Inkolelo yam, nangona kunjalo, kukuba ngokwembono yembali, kukho impikiswano eqinileyo yokuba ngamaxesha ahlukeneyo, iNew Jersey ibiyimeko 'emfusa' - indibaniselwano 'eluhlaza' kunye 'nobomvu' - kwaye kunokwenzeka ukuba INew Jersey inokuphinda ihambe ngendlela emfusa kwakhona. Ngokuphathelene noku, qaphela ezi nyani zembali zilandelayo:
- Kwimidlalo emithandathu elandelelanayo kaMongameli ukususela ngo-1968 ukuya ku-1988, umviwa waseRiphabhlikhi wathwala iNew Jersey kunyulo ngalunye. Ngapha koko, uGeorge HW Ngokuqinisekileyo uBush ngewayephethe i-New Jersey ngo-1992 ukuba yayingekho ivoti ka-Ross Perot echaphazela iivoti zika-Mongameli kwiitoni zase-Morris nase-Somerset.
-Kusukela ngoJanuwari, 1992 kude kube nguJanuwari, 2002, amaRiphabhlikhi alawula zombini iNdibano kunye neNdlu yeeNgwevu yaseNew Jersey.
-Kusukela ngoJanuwari, 1995 ukuya kuJanuwari, 1999, amaRiphabhlikhi alawula uninzi lwamalungu ali-13 eNew Jersey kwiNdlu yabameli.
-AmaRiphabhlikhi alawula uLawulo lweNew Jersey kangangeminyaka eli-16 kule minyaka ingama-28 idlulileyo, ngenxa yexesha lesibini likaTom Kean noChristie Whitman. Ngaphaya koko, ngeli xesha le-28 leminyaka, akukho Democrat okhethwe kwakhona njenge-rhuluneli, kwaye kubonakala ngathi akunakulindeleka ukuba uJon Corzine aphinde abonwe ngo-2009.
-U-2001 u-Larry Bartels-owamkelweyo wesithili wanika ii-Democrats ulawulo olomeleleyo ngakumbi lweNdlu yoWiso-mthetho kunye neNdlu yeeNgwevu kunokuba bebeza kuyifumana phantsi kwemephu yangaphambili. Obona bungqina boku ziziphumo zonyulo lowiso-mthetho lowama-2003. Abagqatswa bomthetho weRiphabhlikhi baphethe iipesenti ezingama-53 zevoti zizonke ezenziwa kwilizwe liphela; ukanti i-New Jersey GOP yaphulukana nezihlalo kuzo zombini izindlu.
Ngelixa iNew Jersey ngo-2009 icacile ukuba yindawo eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka, kufanelekile ukuthi iblue ayicimeki. Ukwanda kwamathuba okuba uChris Christie aphumelele uburhulumente kule-Novemba ngokuqinisekileyo kuya kunceda ukuhambisa ilizwe kwicala elibomvu ngakumbi. Kukho, nangona kunjalo, kukho imiceli mngeni emine ekufuneka i-New Jersey GOP kusafuneka ijongane nayo ngokwaphula ulawulo lwangoku oluqinileyo lwe-Democrat ye-State State.
Eyokuqala yinto ehlekisayo: iqela laseRiphabhlikhi laseNew Jersey, iqela elibizwa ngokuba sisityebi alinamali.
I-New Jersey GOP ngeminyaka yoo-1990 iye yakwazi ukunyusa imali kuwo onke amanqanaba kungekuphela nje ngenxa yesikhundla sayo kodwa ngenxa yemizamo yabaxhasi bezimali mega abali-7: uLew Eisenberg noCliff Sobel. Bobabini aba bantu baya kuzingqina bengabasebenzi bakarhulumente abaziphethe kakuhle nabanobuchule, no-Eisenberg njengoSihlalo wePort Authority yaseNew York naseNew Jersey naseSobel njengoNozakuzaku eNetherlands naseBrazil kamva. Amalungu eRiphabhlikhi yaseNew Jersey ngoku aswele kakhulu into efana nale okanye into ene-mega-fundraiser ukuze ahambise urhulumente kwimo yezopolitiko emfusa kule minyaka ilishumi izayo.
Okwesibini, ngaphandle kukaTom Kean kwiphulo lakhe lokuphinda kukhethwe kwakhona ngo-1985, amaRiphabhlikhi aseNew Jersey abe nokusilela okungathethekiyo ekutsaleni ivoti ekhulayo ye-Afrika-American kunye ne-Hispanic. Ngapha koko, ukonyuka kokuvota kwabantu base-Afrika-baseMelika nabaseSpain eNew Jersey ibe lolona tshintsho lukhulu kwinkcubeko yezopolitiko yaseNew Jersey kule minyaka ingamashumi amabini idlulileyo. Ukonyuka kokuthatha inxaxheba kokuvota yiNew Jersey yaseMelika-yaseMelika kunye neHispanics ngokwenene lolona phuculo lwamkelekileyo nolunomvuzo kwezopolitiko zeGarden State. Ukusilela kwamaRiphabhlikhi ekutsaleni abavoti kwezi ndawo zoluntu, nangona kunjalo, kulimazile iqela kuwo omabini amanqanaba ombuso nakwingingqi.
Ngapha koko, ngo-1988, iinkokheli zeqela leRiphabhlikhi eNew Jersey zenze impazamo eyimbali malunga noku xa bakhetha uPete Dawkins ukuba alwele iSenethi yase-US ngokuchasene noFrank Lautenberg endaweni kaLen Coleman, wase-Afrika-waseMerika nowayenguKhomishina weSebe laseNew Jersey. Lemicimbi Yasekuhlaleni. UColeman wayeligosa likarhulumente elibalaseleyo elinenkxaso enkulu hayi kuphela kuluntu lwase-Afrika naseMelika kodwa nakwiReagan Democrats ubukhulu becala bookhokho boMbindi naseMpuma Yurophu. Ungumntu obalaseleyo owakhonza ngokumangalisayo njengomongameli weLigi yeSizwe ye-baseball. Ukuba woyisile uLautenberg, njengoko ndikholelwa ukuba ebeza kuba nayo, uColeman ngewayengumbhazabhaza wokwandisa inkxaso yase-Afrika naseMelika kwi-New Jersey GOP kumashumi eminyaka alandelayo. Endaweni yoko, ubunkokeli beqela bathambisa u-Dawkins, owayebaleka iphulo lokungenzi nto kwaphela. Impazamo eyimbali inokwenzeka ukuba lelona thuba liphosakeleyo le-New Jersey GOP kule minyaka ingamashumi amathathu idlulileyo.
Abadlali abaninzi abaphambili be-GOP eNew Jersey babhala nje ivoti yase-Afrika-yaseMelika neyaseSpain, ngethemba lokunciphisa inkxaso yabo kubagqatswa beDemokhrasi ngokunyusa iitotali zeRiphabhlikhi kwenye indawo. Eso sicwangciso sigwetyelwe ukusilela. Ukuba iRiphabhlikhi yaseNew Jersey ayiziphuculi iitotali zazo kubavoti base-Afrika nabaseMelika, ilizwe liya kuhlala likwisimo esiluhlaza, nokuba kungaluphi na uloyiso lwe-GOP ngamanye amaxesha kunyulo loburhulumente.
Okwesithathu, iinkokheli zeRiphabhlikhi yaseNew Jersey kufuneka zenze isicwangciso esiliqili xa iKhomishini yokuBiwa kwezeMithetho eNew Jersey iphinda yakhiwa ngo-2011 ukumisela imida emitsha yezithili ezingamashumi amane zomthetho zaseNew Jersey. Ngaphandle kokuba kukho umahluko omkhulu kwimephu yangoku, amaRiphabhlikhi aya kuqhubeka nokusilela ukufikelela kwisininzi kwindlu yowiso-mthetho, nokuba yeyiphi na impumelelo enokuphunyezwa yiRhuluneli uChris Christie.
Okwesine, amaRiphabhlikhi ajongene nemeko entekenteke nenzima kumba wokumiswa ngokutsha kweCongressal ngo-2012. Ubalo lwabantu lwango-2010 lunokubangela ukuba igqiza laseNew Jersey liye kwiNdlu yabaMeli baseMelika lincitshiswe lisuka kumalungu alishumi elinesithathu laya kwelishumi elinesibini.
Ngokuqinisekileyo iyakuba lisicwangciso seDemokhrasi sokuphosa uScott Garrett kunye noLeonard Lance kwisithili esinye seCongress, ngaloo ndlela bangamiseli kuphela ukhuphiswano phakathi kwamalungu amabini abalulekileyo eRiphabhlikhi kodwa nokwenza esi sithili sibe yindawo yemfazwe yamakhaya. Iqela leRiphabhlikhi kunye neenkokheli zomthetho kuya kufuneka babenazo zombini iimpikiswano ezinyanzelekileyo kunye nezakhono zoonozakuzaku baseKissingerian ukweyisela ilungu eliqhekezayo leKhomishini yoSasazo ukuba ingatyhaleli uGarrett noLance kwisithili esinye ngelixa kuthintelwa utshintsho oluchaphazela imeko ekhuselekileyo yeCongressmen Rodney Frelinghuysen, eFrank. ULoBiondo, kunye noChris Smith.
Yonke le micimbi ikhankanyiweyo ikhokelela kwimiceli mngeni eyoyikisayo kwiRiphabhlikhi kwimizamo yabo yokuguqula iNew Jersey isuke kwibala elihlaza okwesibhakabhaka ibe yimfusa. AmaRiphabhlikhi aseNew Jersey, nangona kunjalo, angathatha intuthuzelo kunye nenkuthazo kwimbali yezopolitiko yaseNew Jersey ukusukela ngo-1973 ukuya kowe-1985. Emva kokwehla kuka-Brendan Byrne ngo-1973 kwimpumelelo yobuzwilakhe kunye nehlazo lika-Nixon le-Watergate kunye nokushiya kwakhe kwi-Ofisi kaMongameli ngo-1974, iingcali zezopolitiko zase-New Jersey zaziqikelela Ukupheliswa kweQela leRiphabhlikhi njengeyona nto ibalulekileyo kwezopolitiko kwiGarden State.
Ngo-1982, nangona kunjalo, iNew Jersey yayinyule irhuluneli yaseRiphabhlikhi, uTom Kean, owathi kwiphulo lakhe lokukhetha kwakhona umhlaba ngo-1985 wayeza kuthwala kwiNdlu yoWiso-mthetho uninzi lwamaRiphabhlikhi olunamalungu angama-50. Ukuba uChris Christie wonyulwe njenge-rhuluneli kulo-Novemba, ngokungathandabuzekiyo uya kujonga irekhodi likaTom Kean kungekuphela nje njengesikhokelo kulawulo olugqwesileyo lweGarden State kodwa nanjengomzekelo wokuzuza ukuvuseleleka kwakhona kweQela leRiphabhlikhi yaseNew Jersey.
