UHillary Clinton.(Ifoto: U-Ethan Miller kwi-Getty Izithombe) Ukugqibela kukaHillary Clinton ukuphumelela unyulo lokhuphiswano, kwakungekho nto enje nge-Facebook, i-Twitter, okanye i-iPod. I-America ekwi-Intanethi ilawula i-Intanethi. Umongameli omnyama wayengumlinganiswa edlalwa Morgan Freeman.
Umchasi kaNks.Clinton yayinguRick Lazio, ingqungquthela yaseLong Island kunye neRiphabhlikhi, kwaye wayeyinenekazi langaphambili elalingena kwiPhondo laseNew York ukubambela ongasekhoyo uDaniel Patrick Moynihan kwiNdlu yeeNgwevu yaseMelika. Kwakungunyaka ka-2000. Kwaye uMnu Lazio, xa kuthethwa inyani, kwakungekho nto ityhalayo.
Kodwa uMnu Lazio wayengenguye ukhetho lokuqala lweQela leRiphabhlikhi. YayinguRudolph Giuliani, usodolophu weSixeko saseNew York. Wayezishiya emva kokubhengeza ukuba umtshato wakhe uphelile kwaye wayelwa nomhlaza webala.
Umnumzana Lazio wayengaziwa kwilizwe liphela, umntu owayesele ebonakala ukuba uza kususa umsindo ngoSeptemba ngaphambi kokuba ajikeleze inqanaba lempikiswano, ebambelela kwisibambiso sakhe semali kwiphulo likaNkosazana Clinton kwaye efuna ukuba asayine. Ukujija umnwe wakhe kunye nokukhwaza kunkosikazi wokuqala, weza njengoko isoyikiso kunye nesini. Umnumzana Lazio akazange achache, kwaye uNkosazana Clinton wamdiliza ngamanqaku ali-12. Ubuye waphinda wanyula ngokuchasene neqela eliphikisayo ngo-2006.
Ngo-2008, kuvavanyo lokuqala lonyulo ukusukela ngo-2000, wayeza kulahlekelwa nguMongameli uBarack Obama. Iminyaka esibhozo kamva, njengoko iDemocratic primary ijikela emazantsi nasentshona kwaye intle kwakhona, UNks.Clinton uphakame ngokuchasene nabanye abaphikisi abaninzi behlekisa ngokunganyanzelekanga: uSen. UBernie Sanders WaseVermont.
Iingxoxo ezichasene noMnu Sanders zikamongameli zisengqiqweni ngokwaneleyo. Uneminyaka engama-74 ubudala, usoshiyali ozibiza ngokuba yintando yesininzi kunye neNdlu yeeNgwevu evela kwilizwe elincinci eMelika. Yindoda emhlophe evela kwelona lizwe limhlophe izama ukuphatha ibhena yeqela leDemocratic Party eliya lisanda ngokwanda. Njengomntu ozimeleyo, akenzi nkqu ibhaluni g kwitheko.
U-Hillary Clinton akunyanzelekanga ukuba achaze ubusoshiyali kubavoti basezidolophini, u-Congressman Steve Israel, u-Democrat othathe indawo ka Mnu. Lazio kwiNdlu, uxelelwe i INew York Times ngoJanuwari.
Ukanti ukuba uMnu.Sanders, ophantse wabetha u-Ms Clinton e-Iowa kwaye waphumelela i-New Hampshire, angoyisa unobhala welizwe, i-senator yase-US kunye nenenekazi lokuqala, ngekhe abe kwisimo esibi kakhulu kunonyuliweyo we-Democratic Hillary Clinton , ngaphandle kwamabango ee-pundits ezininzi kunye nabaxhasi bakaClinton.
Masiqale ngokuthi yinto encinci ukulandela uMnu.Sanders eyona nto iphambili ekukhetheni kwakhe: ubetha amaRiphabhlikhi kwimidlalo yentloko. Njengoko ephawuliwe kwizihlandlo ezininzi, uhlala ekhupha uDonald Trump kunye no-Sen Ted Cruz waseTexas, ababini beqela eliphambili le-GOP. Kuba asazi ukuba ngubani oza kutyunjwa yiRiphabhlikhi kwaye iintloko zentloko ezikude kakhulu kunyulo jikelele azithembekanga, uMnu.Sanders ulahlekisa. Ngexesha iidemokhrasi kunye neRiphabhlikhi zizinze kwabo batyunjiweyo ngoJulayi, amandla ohlanga aya kube sele etshintshile amatyeli aliqela ngaphezulu, kwaye ezi polls ziya kuba shushu.
Isizathu sokubheja kuMnumzana uSanders kukhuphiswano kunyulo jikelele sinento yokwenza namandla angaphaya kwamandla akhe: ukuphawuleka okumangalisayo kwabavoti. Abavoti abaninzi kunangaphambili ulidele elinye iqela endaweni yokwamkela eyabo, into eyaziwa ngokuba yipolarization engalunganga, kwaye oku kuthetha ukuba bambalwa abavoti abaseleyo abaza kugqitywa ngokuqinisekileyo phakathi kwabagqatswa beDemocratic and Republican. 
USen Bernie Sanders. (Ifoto ngu-Ethan Miller / Getty Izithombe)(Ifoto: U-Ethan Miller kwi-Getty Izithombe)
Ukunyuka kobambiswano olubi kuthetha ukuba bambalwa kakhulu abantu baseRiphabhlikhi okanye abazimeleyo abathembele kwiPublic Republic Party abaza kuvotela uHillary Clinton okanye nawuphi na umgqatswa wobongameli kwi-2016, wabhala u-Alan Abramowitz noSteven Webster, oososayensi ababini bezopolitiko kwiYunivesithi yase-Emory, ngoJulayi ophelileyo. Ngokunjalo, bambalwa kakhulu abaDemokhrasi okanye abazimeleyo abathembele kwiDemocratic Party abaza kuvotela… nawuphi na umgqatswa ongomnye weRiphabhlikhi.
Iipateni zokuvota ezikhuthazayo ziya kuthetha ukuba kunokwenzeka unyulo olusondele kakhulu ukuwa, nokuba ngabaphi na abagqatswa abonyulwa ngamaqela. Xa kuthelekiswa nonyulo lobongameli kumashumi eminyaka adlulileyo, kukho inani eliqingqiweyo lamazwe aya kuthi ngokwenene abe kukhuphiswano kulo naliphi na iqela. Kukhetho luka-2000, ezili-12 zagqitywa ngamanqaku amahlanu okanye ngaphantsi; elo nani ishwabene ukuya kwezine ngo-2012. Kusekho isizathu esincinci sokucinga ukuba unyulo luka-2016 aluyi kuhla kula mazwe mabini. (Abanye baphikise uMnu.Trump, umphuhlisi wezindlu nomhlaba ohlukanise abambalwa kunye nokusekwa kweRiphabhlikhi ngokufanayo, inokuba ngaphandle kwaye bajongane nendlela.)
Le yeyona ngxoxo ibambekayo ngokuchasene nebango lokuba uMnu.Sanders, ukuba utyunjiwe, uyakuba ngomnye uGeorge McGovern, iseneta yase-South Dakota e-ideologi eyayithwele ilizwe elinye ngokuchasene noRichard Nixon ngo-1972. yayinokhuphiswano. Umdemokhrasi unokuwina iTexas. IRiphabhlikhi ingaphumelela iNew York neCalifornia. Kwi-2016, bekuya kuba nzima kuMnumzana uSanders ukuba aphulukane namazwe aphambili athe axhasa iiDemokhrasi kule mizuzwana imbalwa idlulileyo, enciphisa ukubakho kokuwa komhlaba okufana noMcGovern.
Ukuba siyazi ukuba uMnumzana uSanders akazukuchithwa, sazi njani ukuba uNks uClinton, ozithengisa njengoMdemokhrasi ngengqondo, uya kuba nakho ukwenza ngcono kakhulu ngokuchasene neRiphabhlikhi? Kubaxhasi bakaClinton, ithini into ngomgqatswa wakho xa uneminyaka engama-74 ubudala ukusuka kwilizwe lesibini elincinci eMelika, indoda enomdla odlulayo Imicimbi yezangaphandle , ndimtshabalalisile kwimeko yokuba wabuya ngokubuya ngo-2008?
Iingxoxo zedemokhrasi ngokuchasene noMnumzana uSanders weziprayimari zilungile, kwaye zonke izibalo ezibalaseleyo zinoNks uClinton osondelayo edlula kuye eSouth Carolina. Kodwa masithathe inyathelo eliya umva. Ngaba umgqatswa onenkqubela phambili ovela kwilizwe elinemiphumela ebengacingi ngokumchasa-uElizabeth Warren, nabani na? -Izixhobo zikaClinton ezinokuba zazise-DEFCON 1 ngoku. Umnumzana Sanders uneentsilelo ezininzi njengomgqatswa weDemokhrasi, kubandakanya ivoti yakhe ngokuchasene nomthetho oyilwayo olawula umpu kaBrady kunye nenkxaso yakhe kwityala lolwaphulo-mthetho lwe-omnibus ka-1994, ivoti ebinokubonakalisa ukubulala kumathuba akhe ukuba uBill Clinton akayityikityi ibe ngumthetho . UNks Warren, owonyulwe kwiNdlu yeeNgwevu kwi-2012, akanazo ezo ziphene.
UBernie Sanders akakho ngcamango yomntu othwala umgangatho oqhelekileyo weDemokhrasi. Kodwa uthini ngoHillary Clinton, umgqatswa osandula ukuphulukana nevoti yeminyaka eliwaka Imida emikhulu engenangqondo kumazwe amabini alandelelanayo? Kuthekani ngomgqatswa obambelele ngenkani ukugxotha aba bantu abancinci njenge pollyannas ukuthengisa ngenjongo yobufazi kodwa ngaba uzimisele ukuphumelela i-White House ekubeni abo bantu bamvotele ngo-Novemba? 
USen Bernie Sanders kunye noHillary Clinton.(Ifoto: Tasos Katopodis ye-Getty Izithombe)
Isicwangciso somdlalo kaNks.Clinton, ngokwemiqathango, kukuthatha indlela yonyulo efanayo noMnumzana u-Obama: ukuhlanganisa abo bangengabo abamhlophe kunye nabavoti abancinci kwinani lerekhodi ukuze baxhase ukutshintsha kwenani labakhethiweyo abangakwaziyo ukuza ngokukhawuleza kwiDemocratic Party Ukuphulukana nemidyarho yebhola ekhatywayo yasekhohlo nasekunene. Konke okuqaqambileyo URobby Mooks kwihlabathi alinakuyitshintsha inyani yokuba uNks.Clinton ngumgqatswa welifa kwiminyaka emithandathu kuphela uMnu Sanders omncinci obaleka kwimozulu eguqukayo eyenzelwe ukwala umzamo onjalo. Ukuba kukho nantoni na, ukusukela koku kude ubuncinci, uMnu.Sanders ubonakala engafanelanga umsebenzi wokudibanisa umanyano oludala luka-Obama.
UNks Clinton akathembisi utshintsho. Uthembisa ngokuqhubekeka ngokukuko-kwaye ngubani ophumelele ngokwenene? UBarack Obama akazange. UBill Clinton akazange. UJimmy Carter akazange. Isigqebelo se-2016 ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kukuba uBernie Sanders wasendle kunye noboya uzibonakalisile ukuba ungoyena msebenzisi unolwazi. Uhlala engayeki kumyalezo. Iingxoxo zakhe zeengxoxo zincinci. Uye wakwazi ukuhlasela uNks.Clinton ngaphandle kokuvakala ngokungathandabuzekiyo okanye ngesini, ehlonipha isigqibo sakhe esingaqhelekanga sokwamkela iifizi zokuthetha zabantu abathandathu ngaphambili Ubalekele umongameli kwakhona. (Zonke ezinye iipol ezibalaseleyo kwimbali yale mihla zibe nengqondo elungileyo yokuphuma emva Iphulo labo lokugqibela.)
Eyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu kuyo yonke, njenge ilungisiwe kwi IWashington Post uyibeke kutsha nje, akukho kungacaci malunga nokuba kutheni ebaleka. Iphulo lakhe lifakwa ngokushwankathelwe ngokulula, ngenjongo yokulungela isandi. Olu luphawu lopolitiko oluyimpumelelo nakweliphi na ixesha, kodwa kubaluleke kakhulu kubudala beendaba zosasazo. Kwelinye icala, eyona ndlela ikhawulezayo yokwenza isishwankathelo sika-Hillary Clinton's raison d'être kukuba uzakuphumeza umlinganiso olingana nowesithathu kaMongameli u-Obama-kwaye eyona! -Term. Iphulo lakhe kusafuneka anike ibali elinyanzelekileyo ukuba lisetyenziswe luluntu, kwaye le yingxaki. Abasetyhini abancinci ababonakali bekhathalela kakhulu ukuba angangumongameli wethu wokuqala wasetyhini kwaye oku akuzange kube ngaphambili kwimizamo yakhe, kunjalo.
Kukho umba opheleleyo wokusetyenziswa kwe-imeyile nguNks.Clinton xa wayengunobhala welizwe ukuba abe ngophando lwe-FBI. Umnumzana uSanders usenokungakhathali, kodwa iRiphabhlikhi ngokuqinisekileyo iya kuyenza
Eyona nto ikhuthazayo uNks uClinton anokuthi aye kuye kunyulo jikelele kukoyika. I-GOP iya kubeka iNkundla ePhakamileyo. Baza kutshabalalisa i-Obamacare, i-torpedo yokufudukela kwelinye ilizwe kunye nokuguqula i-United States ibe yi Indoda kwiNqaba ePhakamileyo -istayile yedyopopi. Kwiidemokhrasi, unokubonwa njengegorha elivavanywe emfazweni lokumisa oku, kwaye oko kunokuba ngokwaneleyo.
Umnumzana uSanders wonwabile kwicandelo leDemokhrasi kwaye unethuba lokuphinda anike inkxaso yabahlali abamhlophe abavoti abalahlekileyo uMnu. Kwilizwe elicwecwe kakuhle, apho i-swing ithi, makungashukunyiswa abavoti, iyanyamalala, Nks.Clinton unikezela ntoni ngoMnu Sanders?
Ngaba unokuma kumatshini wokuhlasela we-GOP? Ngokuqinisekileyo, ukwenzile oko, njengoMnumzana Sanders kwinqanaba elincinci, ukubetha Usomashishini ongusozigidi uRichard Tarrant ukuphumelela isihlalo sakhe seNdlu yeeNgwevu kwiminyaka elishumi eyadlulayo.
Akazibizi ngososhiyali? Ewe, abagcini bendalo baqhubeka bemgculela uBarack Obama, indoda emnyama enegama elikhethekileyo, njengososhiyali kwaye wasinda, nangona wayengenalo igama elifana noMnu Sanders. Ukuba uMnu.Sanders ulahlekelwe yiRiphabhlikhi ngamanqaku amathathu okanye kunjalo, ileyibhile yakhe yobusoshiyali iya kusolwa.
Unamava omgaqo-nkqubo wezangaphandle? Ngokuqinisekileyo. Kodwa uMnu.Obama wayengenanto xa woyisa iqhawe laseVietnam uJohn McCain.
Kwiphepha, uNks uClinton usabonakala njenge-Democrat eyomeleleyo ngo-Novemba. Umbuzo osebenzayo kwiiDemokhrasi uya kuba ungakanani.
Kwi-pantheon yezizathu zokuxhasa uNks uClinton, ukhetho kukodwa luyehla ngakumbi kuluhlu.
Ukubhengezwa: UDonald Trump ngumkhwe kaJared Kushner, umpapashi we-Braganca Media.
