Eyona Ijezi-Entsha Yezopolitiko Eyona nto iphazamisayo kwisimo sezulu

Eyona nto iphazamisayo kwisimo sezulu

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'Isimo sezulu sibhekisa kwisikhalazo solwazi olunikezwe kutshanje zii-imeyile ezivela kwiCandelo loPhando lwemozulu (CRU) kwiYunivesithi yase-East Anglia eGreat Britain. Ii-imeyile zityhila: I-1) iinzame zokunyanzelwa kobushushu bomhlaba kwizazinzulu zeCRU zokufihla ulwazi oluphikisana neempikiswano zabo; kunye ne-2) ukungakwazi kwabo ukubonelela ngenkcazo ebambekayo yokuba kutheni ubushushu behlabathi buthetha ukuba abunyusanga iota kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo.

Isikhalazo seClimategate lelona bali libalulekileyo kwindalo esingqongileyo kulo nyaka kwaye ngokungathandabuzekiyo siyakuchaphazela ikhosi yomgaqo-nkqubo wokutshintsha kwemozulu waseMelika, ngaphandle kolawulo luka-Obama luthi konke kulungile kwaye kunjalo nakwisivumelwano segesi seGreenhouse global seCopenhagen. Izolo, uSenator wase-Virginia u-Democrat wase-US u-Jim Webb ulumkise uMongameli u-Obama ngokuchaseneyo nokwenza ukuzibophelela kwi-greenhouse e-Copenhagen engenayo inkxaso yangaphambili ye-United States Senate.

Iimbono zam zotshintsho lwemozulu azikatshintshi okoko ibali leClimategate laphuka. Ndiyakholelwa ukuba ukukhutshwa kwe-anthropogenic (okubangelwa ngabantu) kwee-greenhouse gases kunefuthe lokufudumala kwiplanethi. Nangona kunjalo, ndikhe ndathandabuza iingqikelelo zempembelelo yokufudumala kwehlabathi okwenziwe zizazinzulu ezahlukeneyo kunye nabezopolitiko.

Xa ndisenza izigqibo ngendalo, bendisoloko ndibhalise kumgaqo wokhuselo. Lo mthetho-siseko ubeka uxanduva kurhulumente ukuba angenelele akhusele uluntu ekonzakalisweni xa uphando lwenzululwazi lufumanisa umngcipheko onokubakho ngexesha lokujonga ezinye izizathu ezikrokrelwayo.

Ngokusekwe kumgaqo wokhuselo, ndiyaqhubeka nokuxhasa umthetho wobumbano ukunciphisa ukukhutshwa kwegesi ephuma kwigreenhouse kwimithombo yezithuthi nakwizityalo. Ndikwaxhasa ukubandakanyeka kweNew Jersey kwiNgingqi yeGreenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI)

Ndifumana eyona nto iphazamisayo, nangona kunjalo, isityhilelo sokuba abameli abaphambili be-warming e-East Anglia baye baqhubeka bezama ukuthintela ukutshintsha kwemozulu kwezenzululwazi ekubeni bazive iingxoxo zabo, kuzo zombini iimagazini zenzululwazi nakwiinkomfa. Ezi nzame zihlala zithatha uhlobo lokuhlaselwa kwe-ad hominem kwintembeko yokuphikisa oososayensi abadumileyo bokutshintsha kwemozulu. Ummeli wase-US uJames Sensenbrenner (R-Wisconsin) sele eye kufikelela kwelebheli yolu hlaselo njenge-fascism yesayensi kunye noMcCarthyism wesayensi.

Nangona uninzi lwenzululwazi yotshintsho lwemozulu lubhalisela umbono wokuba i-anthropogenicUkukhutshwa kwee-greenhouse gases kungunobangela wobushushu besimo sehlabathi obunobungozi, kukho iqaqobana leenzululwazi ezinokuthenjwa eziphikisana nale nkolelo. Oososayensi abathathu abadumileyo bagqamile malunga noku: 1) URichard Lindzen, uNjingalwazi weMeteorology eMassachusetts Institute of Technology; 2) UFred Singer, uprofesa ovela kwisayensi yezendalo kwiYunivesithi yaseVirginia; no-3) ongasekhoyo uFred Seitz, owayesakuba ngumongameli we-US National Academy of Sciences. Zontathu ezi ngcali zibuze umbuzo wokuba umhlaba unyuka ngokufudumeleyo kunye nenkolelo yokuba imisebenzi ye-anthropogenic ingunobangela wale meko iyingozi.

Kubalulekile ukuba abaguquli botshintsho lwemozulu banikwe lonke ithuba lokwenza iingxoxo zabo. Oku kubaluleke kakhulu xa kujongwa ukuvela kobungqina obunamandla obenza ukuba kuthandabuzeke imeko ezibubungqina ezixelwe ngabameli abathile bokufudumeza kwezenzululwazi nakwezopolitiko. Ezi zinto zintsha zibandakanya i-1) inyani yokuba iqondo lobushushu behlabathi lihlala lihleli kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo; 2) ukuba amanqanaba omkhenkce e-Antarctica anyukile kule minyaka ingamashumi amathathu idlulileyo; 3) inqanaba lomkhenkce wase-Arctic, ekubuyiseleni ishumi leminyaka ukwehla, ngokwenene lenyukile kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo; kunye ne-4) ezo zinto ngaphandle komsebenzi we-anthropogenic zibonakala zichaphazela imozulu yehlabathi, kubandakanya ukwahluka kwimisebenzi yelanga kunye nemisinga yolwandle.

Phambi kokwenza izigqibo zobude obude malunga notshintsho lwemozulu, abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo wezendalo kunye nombuso baya kuxhamla kwingxoxo ebanzi nephangaleleyo phakathi kwabaxhasi beenguqu zemozulu kunye nabantu abathandabuzayo kule micimbi. Iiarhente zokusingqongileyo, ezinje nge-Arhente yoKhuseleko lwezeNdalo e-U.S (i-EPA) kunye neSebe laseNew Jersey loKhuselo lokusiNgqongileyo (NJDEP) basekela imigaqo-nkqubo yabo kwisayensi yesandi. Inzululwazi inokuvakala kuphela, nangona kunjalo, ukuba iinkolelo ezibanjwa ngokuxhaphakileyo kwizihloko ezinje ngokutshintsha kwemozulu zihlala ziphantsi kwemibuzo kunye nophando.

Ukwabelana ngokukhululekileyo, okunamandla, kodwa okunentlonipho okuqhubekayo kwezimvo kubalulekile ekuphuculweni nasekuphuculweni kwesayensi esele ikho. Oko kubandakanya nelungelo lezazinzulu ukubuza imibuzo eqhelekileyo yesayensi. Izenzo zenguqu zemozulu ezikhuthaza i-CRU ukungcolisa kunye nokugrogrisa ukutshintsha kwemozulu kuyaphikisana kwaphela nale mibono yengxoxo epheleleyo yengxoxo nengxoxo.

Ngokubhekisele kuMongameli u-Obama, kufuneka ubuncinci aqwalasele iingxoxo zabo bobabini abaguquleli botshintsho lwemozulu kunye nabantu abathandabuzayo ngaphambi kokuzibophelela kwilizwe ekunciphiseni ukukhutshwa kwegesi. Ngaphandle koko, ubeka emngciphekweni wokuphindaphinda ukungavumelani kozakuzaku owayesakuba nguMongameli uWoodrow Wilson kwinkomfa yasemva kweMfazwe Yehlabathi I eVersailles ngo-1919.

UWilson waya eVersailles eqinisekile ukuba angazibophelela e-United States ukuba ibe lilungu kwi-League of Nations nakwizivumelwano zayo ezingqongqo. Abakhokeli bee-Senator base-US, ngakumbi uSenator waseRiphabhlikhi uHenry Cabot Lodge waseMassachusetts, babenenkxalabo enzulu yokuba uManyano lungaphelisa amalungelo azimeleyo eMelika. I-Senate yenqabile ukuqinisekisa isivumelwano saseVersailles kunye nokuzinikela kukaWilson kubulungu baseMelika kwiLigi.

Kwangokunjalo, amathandabuzo aphakanyiswe yiClimategate angakhokelela ekubeni iNdlu yeeNgwevu iyeke ukuzukisa izibhambathiso kwiirhasi zokugcina izindlu ezenziwe nguObama eCopenhagen. Ewe, iyakuba yinto engummangaliso ukuba u-Obama ka-Henry Cabot Lodge wajika waba lilungu leqela lakhe, uSenator Jim Webb.

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