Iflegi yaseIran iphaphazela ecaleni komjukujelwa.UVAHID REZA ALAEI / AFP / Getty Izithombe Nge-25 kaJulayi, umlo wamva nje e-Ayatollah Khomeini's Imfazwe yamaSilamsi yenguqulelo ende eMelika yenzeke kumantla e-Persian Gulf.
Xa isikebhe esikhawulezayo esasiphethwe ngabasebenzi bamaSilamsi boGuquko kwiCorps (IRGC) saya kwimikhumbi yaseMelika esebenza emanzini avulekileyo, ubugcisa bokujikeleza baseMelika. I-USS Iindudumo ukhuphe uthotho lwezilumkiso, konke ukuguqulela njengokuhlala kude, gcina umgama okhuselekileyo. Abalindi boQhushululu baqhubeka besiza, njengoko behlala besenza, behlola de i-USN iphendule.
Isikhephe esinenzondelelo yokuluka phakathi kweenqanawa zemfazwe zaseMelika zinokuphazamisa ukubunjwa kwe-US kwaye zibangele ukungqubana. Abasasazi be-Tehran baya kuyenza loo nto njengoloyiso elwandle. Okubi nangakumbi, isikhephe saseIran sisenokuba yibhombu ehanjiswa ngamanzi enokuntywila kwinqanawa enkulu. Uhlaselo olubi luka-Okthobha u-2000 kuhlaselo lwe- USS uCole kakhulu ezingqondweni zoomatiloshe boMkhosi wamanzi xa kuvela izikhephe ezincinane zaseIran. Inzondelelo yokuzibulala kwiBoghammer egcwele iziqhushumbisi inokuzig-zag ngescreen sokuzikhusela se-USN, ngakumbi ukuba isikhephe seenzondelelo sesinye seziqhu kwiqela.
Ke Iindudumo baya kwiiKota Jikelele-ukulungela ukulwa kwangoko kwinqanawa yemfazwe, abasebenzi bayo kwizikhululo zemfazwe bephethe i-ammo.
Sisazityeshele izilumkiso ezinoxolo, isikhephe esigadileyo sogada sivalile Iindudumo kwaye ndingene kumgama omnye weemayile zokuhamba ngenqanawa inqanawa ye-AEGIS I-USS Old Gulf -Ewe, inqanawa enkulu yemfazwe yase-USN ephethe imijukujelwa echasene ne-ballistic (i-ABMs) ekwaziyo ukuthintela imikhosi yase-North Korea kunye ne-Iranian ephakathi (IRBMs).
Iindudumo wagxotha izoyikiso ezininzi phambi kobugcisa baseIran. Ngokwengxelo ye-Fifth Fleet yase-US, ngelo xesha… inqanawa yaseIran yamisa indlela yayo engakhuselekanga…
Amaphenyane aseIran aqhuba ezi nkqubo rhoqo. NgoJanuwari 2017, isikhombisi esikhokelwayo USS Mahan wadubula izithintelo xa i ibubu leenqanawa zokuhlasela ze-IRGC wasondela ngesantya esiphezulu. Eso siganeko senzeke kwiPersian Gulf ekuphumeni emazantsi, iStrait of Hormuz. Eminye yeepesenti ezingama-20 zonikezelo lweoli lwemihla ngemihla lweoyile ludlula eHormuz kwiitanki ezinkulu.
I-Tehran ibhekisa kwi-speedboat bluff njengemikhosi yezomkhosi kunye nezopolitiko ezihlaselwe ngokuchasene ne-Great Satan America kunye nabalingane bayo. Ukuba inqanawa enkulu yemfazwe kaSathana iba nomonakalo, kungcono kakhulu. Ngaba abaguquleli boGuquko ukuqweqwedisa umatiloshe waseMelika okanye wase-Bhritane, olunjani lona ubhukuqo-mbuso.
I-hostages iya kutsala iintloko zehlabathi-zihlala zisenza njalo. Ukukhulula abathinjiweyo kunokuyilungiselela i-Iran isivumelwano sezopolitiko okanye ezimbini. Konke kungcono ukuba abantu baseNtshona boyike xa bejongana nenkalipho yenguqu yamaSilamsi. Umzekelo wobukrelekrele bokubanjwa kuka-1979 eTehran, xa kwaqala iMfazwe kaKhomeini yokulwa noMkhosi Omkhulu waseMelika!
Ii-ayatollahs ziya kuqhubeka nokulandela uhlobo lwazo loonozakuzaku be-gunboat ngokuchasene ne-Great kunye ne-Satana encinci de bafumane i-Great Equalizers: izixhobo zenyukliya kunye nee-ICBM ezinokuthi zijolise kubuninzi beSathana eWashington, Tel Aviv, Paris, London, London, Ankara, Riyadh nase Ewe, eMoscow. Oothixo abaninzi eNew Delhi bangcono ukuba bajonge ngokunjalo.
Uluhlu lukaSathana lwaseIran aluphelelanga. Ngaphezulu kweminyaka engamashumi amathathu, urhulumente wobuzwilakhe owazalwa ngu-Ayatollah Khomeini-nangona wayengekho amandla ehlabathi ngokwesiko lezomnotho, ezopolitiko okanye ezomkhosi-ebesoloko ebamba iglobhu ngokubhebhethekisa ingxabano, uguquko kunye nemilo exhobileyo. Oku kuphuma kwibango lika-Ayatollah Khomeini i-Iran ingakhokelela kuhlaziyo lwe-Islamist kwihlabathi liphela.
Ingxaki enobundlobongela iyaqhubeka. Ngokwenani elinye, ngo-1996 ulawulo lwalubandakanyekile kwimilo yezizwe ngezizwe eyi-17, uninzi lwayo belikuMbindi Mpuma okanye kuMbindi weAsiya, kodwa iingcinga zayo ezimbi zachukumisa uMzantsi Melika. Namhlanje iintente zikaTehran zibandakanyeka ngaphezulu kweengxabano ezilishumi elinambini, kwaye kusenokwenzeka ukuba uninzi lweengxabano e-Afrika nase-Asiya ziimfazwe ngaphakathi kweemfazwe. Ayinamsebenzi, ukudala ingxaki enobundlobongela yishishini likaTehran. Nantso ixesha elidlulileyo lolawulo.
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Akukho nanye kwezi eyothusayo kwabo babona umhlaba ngamehlo athembekileyo kunye avulekileyo. Kwintetho ngo-Epreli 2016, uNobhala Wezomkhosi uJim Mattis (ngelo xesha wayengumntu nje othathe umhlala-phantsi) utshilo I-U.S. mayingayamkeli i-Iran hayi njengombuso wesizwe kodwa ingunobangela wotshintsho ozinikele kugonyamelo…
Uye wongeza, Ulawulo lwase-Iranian, engqondweni yam, lolona loyikiso luhlala luhleli kuzinzo noxolo kuMbindi Mpuma. Kuzo zonke i-ISIS kunye ne-AQI's -AQ -al-Qaida zikhankanywa kuyo yonke indawo ngoku, (Iran) isoyikiso esikhawulezileyo. Zinzulu.
Ewe ii-ayatollahs zinobuzaza kwaye ziyanyamezela. Bafuna ngamandla ukulandela uguquko lwehlabathi, bafuna ngamandla ibhombu yenyukliya ukukhuthaza nokukhusela olo tshintsho, kwaye bafuna imali kunye nexesha lokwakha izixhobo zabo zenyukliya.
Nangona kunjalo ngaphambili UMongameli uBarack Obama ibango lokuba ulawulo lwe-ayatollah lunokuthenjwa ukujonga Isicwangciso esiHlangeneyo sokuSebenza (JCPOA) ayizukuqinisekisa loo nto luxolo kakhulu ngexesha lethu kodwa mhlawumbi mhlawumbi masibe nethemba lokulibazisa inkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya yase-Iran kangangeminyaka eli-10- kwaye mhlawumbi okwethutyana senze udidi oluphakathi kwaye mhlawumbi silungelelanise isimilo sikaTehran kwaye mhlawumbi kude kube nguNovemba 2016 siphazamise amajelo aseMelika kwimigaqo-nkqubo emikhulu yamanye amazwe ka-Obama eSyria, Iraq, Ukraine, Korea kunye noLwandle lwase China lwase China.
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Kwintetho e-Youngstown, e-Ohio yanikezelwa kwangolo suku Iindudumo Wadubula kwi-Revolutionary Guard, uMongameli uDonald Trump wadubula eTehran kunye neJCPOA : Ukuba eso sivumelwano asihambelani noko kufanele ukuba sivumelane nako, siya kuba sikhulu, sibe neengxaki ezinkulu kubo. Ndingakuxelela. Ndikholelwe, utshilo uTrump. Ngewucinge ukuba ngebathe, ‘Enkosi eUnited States. Sikuthanda kakhulu. ’Endaweni yoko, baye baba nesibindi. Oko ngekhe kwenzeke ixesha elide.
UTrump uyazi ukuba isivumelwano saseIran asisiyontengiselwano neMelika kunye nabalingane bayo. Ngo-Septemba ka-2015, ethetha kwirali yeQela leeTi, umgqatswa uTrump ibhengeziwe , Andizange nanini na ebomini bam ndibone nayiphi na intengiselwano engakhange ithethathethane ngokungafanelekanga njengesivumelwano ne-Iran.
UTrump wayefanele ngo-2015, uMattis wayelungile ngo-2016, kwaye uTrump wayelungile nge-25 kaJulayi.
UTim Stafford kwi Inzala kaZwelonke ishwankathelwe Iimpazamo ezininzi zeJCPOA ekungekho mntu uthethathethana naye waseMelika ebeya kuvumela:
Isivumelwano sikhokelele ekubeni i-Iran ifumane isohlwayo esibalulekileyo kunaniselwano ngokwamkela uluhlu lwezithintelo kwinkqubo yenyukliya. Ngaba le miqobo yayiya kuhlala ihleli, ukuvuma kwe-Iranian ukuyithobela kunokwanela. Nangona kunjalo, uninzi lwezithintelo eziphambili ziyaphelelwa kwiminyaka eliqela-ezintandathu kwimeko yophuhliso lwe-ballistic-missile, ezisibhozo kwimeko yokuphuculwa ngokubanzi kwe-Iran kunye ne-13 kwimeko yothintelo ekutyebiseni i-uranium kwinqanaba lomgangatho wezixhobo. Ngokuhambelana, umlinganiso wempumelelo kufuneka ubekwe phezulu. I-JCPOA kunokuthiwa iyasebenza ukuba inkqubela phambili iyenziwa kwinjongo ebanzi yokudimaza iTehran ukuba ingabuyeli ekutyebiseni xa izithintelo kwinkqubo yazo ziyeka ukuba sisinyanzelo.
Ngamanye amagama, isivumelwano esibi kakhulu sika-Obama sivumela i-Iran ukuba igcine amandla okuphucula i-uranium angaqala ukutyebisa ekutyhilekeni kwengubo ye-ayatollah.
U-Stafford uphawula ukuba i-Iran iyaziphucula iindlela zayo zokukhusela iindawo zayo zenyukliya. Ukuphucula ukukhuselwa komoya kuye kwaba yinjongo ye-Iranian yexesha elide kwaye ukupheliswa kwezohlwayo kuyikhawulezisile loo nkqubo. UTehran wenze uhlaziyo olubalulekileyo kwi Ngo-2016 xa yahambisa umphezulu wase-Russian S-300 kwimijukujelwa yomoya ijikeleze indawo yayo yaphantsi komhlaba eFordow yokucebisa.
Ngokucacileyo, i-JCPOA ayikucothisi ukwakhiwa komkhosi wase-Iran. NgoSeptemba 2016, uFred Fleitz kunye neFox News baqaphela ukuba kunye neFordow ekhankanyiweyo :
Ke, ukuba amabango olawulo luka-Obama ayinyani-ukuba isivumelwano senyukliya ngoJulayi 2015 kunye ne-Iran samisa isoyikiso kwinkqubo yenyukliya yase-Iran-kutheni i-Iran inyusa ukhuselo lwayo kule ndawo inenyukliya? Zimbini izizathu. Okokuqala, isivumelwano senyukliya ngobuqhetseba. Okwesibini, uTehran ulungiselela ukuyikhupha ... Ukuba i-Iran ivumile ngokwenyani ukuba ingayityebisi i-uranium eFordow kangangeminyaka eli-15, bekungekho sizathu sokuhambisa imijukujelwa yokulwa iinqwelomoya eziphambili kule ndawo ngoku ngaphandle kokuba ibiceba ukophula i-JCPOA kufutshane nekamva.
UFleitz ukwagxekile ukungqinisisa okubuthathaka kwe-JCPOA. Nam ndinjalo.
I-Iran inokukhanyela okwethutyana abahloli ukufikelela kumaziko aphambili ezomkhosi. Ukuphika kuqala ixesha leeveki ezimbini lokuthetha, okt ixesha lokususa izixhobo ezingekho mthethweni. Ixesha lokuthetha-thethana linokongezwa. Ukulahlwa okwethutyana kunokuqhubeka iinyanga.
Skena isivumelwano kunye nesuphu yayo yoonobumba be-bureacratee kunye nesibheno sivelise into yokuba ingqokelela isimbo esingumfuziselo kunomgaqo-nkqubo, owenziwe ngumongameli otyholwe ngumoya wokomfuziselo ongakhathaliyo ngaphezulu kweminyaka engamashumi amathathu ikhonkrithi kunye nokungqinisisa ukungalunganga kweIran.
U-Obama uthe i-JCPOA yakhe izokumisa umdyarho weengalo eMbindi Mpuma. Okuchaseneyo kwenzekile. I-JCPOA ilume umlo omkhulu weengalo, kunye ne-Saudi Arabia kunye nabalingane bayo be-Gulf bandise iindawo zabo zokugcina izixhobo. Bayayoyika ibhombu yaseIran. Bayayibona i-Iran isebenzisa isijeziso sayo xa kuthengwa izixhobo ezintsha. Ngokufanelekileyo, i-JCPOA ijongela phantsi amazwe amanyeneyo e-US kuMbindi Mpuma ngelixa inika i-ayatollah imvume engagungqiyo yokwenza le nto bayenzayo: ukufumana izixhobo zenyukliya.
Ke kufuneka enze ntoni ulawulo lweTrump? Kwiintsuku ezingama-90, xa ukuthotyelwa kwe-JCPOA kufuneka kwakhona kwenziwe isithethe, iWashington kufuneka ixelele iTehran ukuba isivumelwano esibi kakhulu sinesiphene kakhulu ukuba singasebenza. Jonga loo mijukujelwa ijikeleze iFordow. Okubi. Jonga umdlalo oyingozi wesikhephe esihamba ngesantya esiphezulu. Eyoyikisayo. Akulunganga.
Uthethathethwano ngeengalo zikaReagan kunye neMoscow zange zahlukaniswa ngokupheleleyo nokuziphatha kweRussia kwezinye iindawo. Izenzo zibalulekile. Eyona mpazamo iphambili ye-JCPOA kukuba ayiwunaki umfanekiso omkhulu. Izama ukwahlula imigaqo-nkqubo enobundlobongela kunye nokuziphatha kwe-Iran kwinkqubo yezixhobo zenyukliya, nangona le nkqubo ingumbindi kwiinjongo zenguqulelo zase-Iran.
Ukuba oozwilakhe baseTehran bafuna i-JCPOA iqhubeke, urhulumente wabo kufuneka abonakalise indlela aziphethe ngayo. Nazi iimfuno ezine ezinoLawulo lweTrump ekufuneka zenziwe endaweni yokuqhubeka kwe-JCPOA kunye nokuphucula ukungqinisisa kwayo. I-Tehran kufuneka iphelise kwangoko imfazwe yayo yommeleli e-Yemen. Kwimizuzu emitsha yaseNew York kufuneka iyeke ukudodobalisa iBahrain. Kuya kufuneka iyiphelise inkqubo yayo ukuze iphuhlise imijukujelwa ye-ballistic ephakathi kunye ne-intercontinental-kwaye kufuneka sihlole amaziko ophuhliso lwemijukujelwa. Okokugqibela, imikhosi yaseIran kufuneka iyeke ukuphazamisa ukusebenza kwemikhosi yaseMelika. Ewe, ii-ayatollahs, akusayi kubakho bhuti ngesantya. Misa indlela yakho engakhuselekanga.
Ngaba iingubo ezinde kunye noQhushululu oonogada bayavumelana kwesi sivumelwano sitsha? Ndiza kuphendula ngomnye umbuzo ongathandabuzekiyo: Ngaba umntu othetha-thethana ngokufanelekileyo waseMelika ochaphazelekayo ngokunyanisekileyo ekufumaneni uxolo nasekuphuculeni ukhuseleko angayivuma i-JCPOA ka-Obama?
Impendulo kuyo yomibini le mibuzo ngu-Hayi.
I-America, nangona kunjalo, iyakuphinda ibe kwirekhodi elichasayo i-ayatollahs 'ukufuna izixhobo zenyukliya, kunye noQhushululu loonogada, isikhephe esihamba ngesantya esiphezulu siyakuba yinto eyingozi.
I-Austin Bay ngumhleli oncedisayo kwiIsicwangcisoPage.comkunye nenjingalwazi eyongezelelekileyo kwiYunivesithi yaseTexas eAustin. Incwadi yakhe yamva nje yibhayiloji kaKemal Ataturk (Macmillan 2011). I-Bay ngumphathi-mkhosi wase-US Army Reserve odla umhlala-phantsi.
