I-Russia idale indawo engabhabhayo eSyria.
Ihlabathi linike uVladimir Putin iblack blanche ukuba enze nantoni na ayifunayo eMbindi Mpuma. Bekulolo hlobo ukusukela ngoSeptemba ka-2015 xa iRussia yaqala ukungenelela kwayo emhlabeni eSyria. Yonke le nto ibiyinxalenye yesicwangciso esikhulu saseRussia esimbalwa — ukuba kukho umntu osokolayo ukuhoya.
Injongo ye-United States yayikukuzama ukumisa iinqwelomoya zaseSyria naseRussia ekwenzeni umonakalo eluntwini, ngakumbi e-Aleppo. Kodwa iitafile ngoku zijikile. Ngoku abo bacinga ukuba ngabakhuseli baseSyria abamsulwa-i-US kunye namaqabane akhe omdibaniselwano-bayakudinga ukucela imvume yokubhabha iinqwelomoya zabo eSyria kuba bebeza kubhabha kwi-new, Russian, multi-layered, missile shield ezaziwa ngokuba yi-Integrated Air Defense System .
Esi yayisisicwangciso seRussia kwasekuqaleni. UPutin wayenenjongo (kwaye isekhona) yokugcina uBashar Assad esemandleni de i-ISIS kunye ne-al Qaeda zisuswe kunye nokuzola kubuyiselwe eSyria. IRashiya iseke isiseko sayo seMideast sokusebenza eTartus.
Nantsi indlela esebenza ngayo indawo yaseRussia.
Into yokuqala eyenziwa ngamaRussia yayikukungenisa kunye nokufaka ukuthunyelwa okukhulu kwenkqubo yezixhobo ezichasene nenqwelomoya ebizwa ngokuba yi-S-300 kwiziko labo lomkhosi wenqanawa iTartus I-S-300, ngendlela, efanayo Inkqubo bayayithengisa kwaye bayise kuma-Irani. Olo shukumiso lwenzeka ngo-Okthobha u-3. Ukuhanjiswa okutsha kwe-S-300 kwandise ii-S-200s ezazisele zikhona kulo lonke elaseSyria.
Emva koko, abantu baseRussia bongeze uthotho olusebenzayo olufutshane kakhulu kwimijukujelwa yomoya ukuya phezulu. I-PantsirS1 kunye nemijukujelwa yaseBuk ziyinxalenye yezixhobo zomkhosi waselwandle kwiRashiya yabahambi abakhokelayo beemijukujelwa ezihleli zimile kunxweme lwaseSyria.
Ngoku, yongeza kule nkqubo yoKhuseleko oluHlangeneyo edibanisa zonke ezi nkqubo kunye nezinye ezinjengeyona iphambili kwaye intsha kuyo yonke imijukujelwa, inkqubo yemijukujelwa engu-S-400 enoluhlu lweemayile ezingama-350 kwaye, Nantsi , kuzalwa indawo yaseRussia esebenza ngaphandle kokubhabha.
Kutheni le nto kukho isoyikiso esiza kufuna ukuba nenkqubo yokhuselo lwenqwelomoya eqhubele phambili, ecekeceke, kunye nenqabileyo eSyria? Emva kwayo yonke loo nto, i-ISIS ayinawo namandla omoya.
Ummandla unesigqubuthelo samanqanaba okhuselo lomoya kwiimayile ezili-110, emva koko iimayile ezingama-220 kwaye ekugqibeleni, kwiimayile ezingama-300. Oko kukuthi, ngayo yonke imigangatho, kubanzi kakhulu.
Umbuzo ubuza ukubuza: Kutheni kukho isoyikiso esinokufuna ukuba nenkqubo yokhuselo lwenqwelomoya ehambele phambili, ecekeceke, nxamnye nenqwelomoya eSyria? Emva kwayo yonke loo nto, i-ISIS ayinawo namandla omoya. Kwaye asikho esinye isoyikiso eSyria ngaphandle kwezizwe ezili-14 eziphaphazelayo (okanye ezazibhabha de indawo engenabhabha inyuke) ngendawo yomoya elawulwa yiRussia. Emibini yale mikhosi yomoya ibhabha apho ingohlwaywa — iRashiya neSiriya.
I-Israel ne-Russia benze umgama omde wokuqinisekisa ukuba, ubuncinci xa kufikwa kwimikhosi yabo yomoya ebhabha eSyria, bakwiphepha elinye kwaye ngekhe kubekho ngxaki. Kubekho intlanganiso ubuso ngobuso phakathi kukaPutin kunye noNetanyahu ukulungisa nayiphi na imiba kunye nokufumana unxibelelwano. UPutin uthe u-Israyeli unako kwaye kufuneka azikhusele. U-Israyeli uthe abathathi cala, kodwa ngokuqinisekileyo baya kuthintela izixhobo ekuhanjisweni ezandleni ze-Hezbollah. Ukuba kufuneka njalo, baya kuziphindezela xa kufuneka njalo. I-Russia iya kwaziswa ngo-Israyeli kwangaphambili kodwa ayinakudlulisa isilumkiso kwithagethi yakwa-Israyeli. Le yimigaqo yesivumelwano sika-Israeli kunye neRussia.
Oko kushiya amanye amazwe ali-11, kubandakanya iMelika. I-US ne-Russia zikumacala ahlukeneyo phantse kuyo yonke into xa isiza eSyria. Kwaye inikwe imeko yangoku yenkqubo yokhuselo yaseRussia, eminye imikhosi yomoya, ngoku, ngoku izinzile.
