Eyona Ijezi-Entsha Yezopolitiko IMonmouth Poll: UTrump Wandisa iNtloko yakhe yeSizwe

IMonmouth Poll: UTrump Wandisa iNtloko yakhe yeSizwe

Yeyiphi Imovie Ukubona?
 

Iziphumo zimele ukutsiba okukhulu kwinkxaso kaTrump kunye nokulungiswa kwakhona kwezitulo zedesika kwinqanaba lesibini. Emva kokuvota phakathi kwe-26% kunye ne-30% kwiipolon zaseMonmouth kulo lonke ixesha lasehlotyeni nasekupheleni, ukubonisa kukaTrump kunyuke ngamanqaku e-13 kwiziphumo zakhe ze-28% phakathi ku-Okthobha. I-Cruz kunye neRubio nganye ifumene amanqaku e-4 ngexesha elinye, ngelixa inkxaso yeCarson yehle ngamanqaku e-9.

Kucace gca ukuba uTrump unika abalandeli bakhe kanye le nto bayifunayo, nokuba into ayithethayo ibangela ubunkokheli be-GOP kunye nabavoti abaninzi beRiphabhlikhi ukuba batyhwatyhwe bathi uPatrick Murray, umlawuli weZiko elizimeleyo leYunivesithi yaseMolling Poll kwiWest Long Branch, NJ.

Ngelixa phantse i-2-in-3 (65%) yabavoti bebonke bevuma ukuba uTrump unesimo sokubamba indima kamongameli, kukho umahluko omkhulu kulo mbono phakathi kwabavoti beGOP. Ngaphezulu kwe-9-in-10 (94%) abaxhasi bakaTrump bathi unesimo esifanelekileyo. Abavoti be-Cruz kunokwenzeka ukuba babe ne-positive (52%) kunokuba babe ne-negative (43%) uluvo lwesimilo sikaTrump. Phakathi kwabo bonke abanye abavoti beRiphabhlikhi, nangona kunjalo, iipesenti ezingama-55 bathi isimo sikaTrump asihambelani kakuhle nobongameli xa kuthelekiswa ne-43% abavakalelwa yiyo.

Ngokubanzi, ama-30% amaRiphabhlikhi anganomdla xa uTrump ephumelele ukutyunjwa kwaye enye i-37% iya kwaneliseka. Yi-12% kuphela engonelisekiyo kwaye enye i-16% iyakucaphuka. Ukubeka umxhasi kaTrump ecaleni, uninzi lwabavoti be-Cruz (63%) luya kulunga noTrump njengomphathi weqela. Phakathi kwabo bonke abanye abavoti beRiphabhlikhi, nangona kunjalo, ngama-40% abavakalelwa ngokufanayo ngelixa uninzi lusithi abanokungoneliseki (24%) okanye bacaphuke (29%) ukuba uTrump wayengumtyunjwa we-GOP.

Inkxaso kaTrump ivela kuluhlu olubanzi lwamaqela abavoti be-GOP, nangona ishukuxwe kwabo bangazange baye ekholejini. UTrump uyalela ukuxhaswa kwesininzi (iipesenti ezingama-54) zabavoti beRiphabhlikhi abanemfundo yamabanga aphakamileyo- amanqaku ali-13 aphezulu kunamanqanaba enkxaso yakhe xa iyonke. Wenza ngcono nangakumbi phakathi kwamadoda (44%) kunabasetyhini (37%), kodwa utsala amanqanaba afanayo enkxaso avela kulondolozo olukhulu (41%), ngolondolozo oluthile (45%), nangabavoti abaphakathi (40%).

I-Trump yenza ngcono phakathi kwabaxhasi be-tea party (52%), kodwa eli liqela apho iCroz iphinda iphumelele ukuma kwayo ngokufumana inkxaso engama-29%, eyi-15 ngamanqaku aphezulu kunenkxaso yakhe kubo bonke abavoti be-GOP. I-Cruz ikwasebenza kakuhle phakathi kwabavoti abalondolozayo (iipesenti ezingama-26).

Abavoti bakaTrump banokuphambukela kwinqanaba lezemfundo elisezantsi, kodwa kubalulekile ukugcina engqondweni ukuba utsala inkxaso kumacandelo abalulekileyo eblogi nganye yokuvota. Awunakubafumana nje abalandeli bakhe njengabamele iqela elinye okanye amabini embutho, utshilo uMurray.

AMAQEMBU AVOTA OKUQHELEKILEYO KWITRUMP kunye neCRUZ
Itotali Kodwa Abafazi Imfundo yamabanga aphakamileyo Eminye imfundo yasekholejini Isidanga sekholeji Ulondolozo kakhulu Ngandlela thile Iphakathi Inkxaso yeqela leti elinamandla Inkxaso yepati yeti Akukho nkxaso yepati
ISIMEMO 41 44 37 54 3. 4 31 41 Isine 40 52 41 36
Xa kuthelekiswa netotali +3 -4 +13 -7 -10 - +4 -1 +11 - -5
Umnqamlezo 14 16 12 8 18 19 26 8 10 29 12 12
Xa kuthelekiswa netotali +2 -Mbini -6 +4 +5 +12 -6 -4 +15 -Mbini -Mbini

Ukulinganiswa kukaTrump kuye kwaphucula kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo. Ngoku ime kuma-61% amahle kwaye ama-29% akathandeki, xa kuthelekiswa nama-52% - 33% ngo-Okthobha. Iziphumo ezikhoyo zibonisa ixesha elipheleleyo kwinqanaba likaTrump ngokwe IYunivesithi yaseMonmouth Poll . I-Cruz ime kwi-58% iyathandeka kwaye i-18% ayithandeki, inyuke kancinci ukusuka kuma-50% ukuya kuma-23% ngo-Okthobha. URubio ufumana i-55% efanayo efanelekileyo- iipesenti ezili-18 ezingathandekiyo, ukusuka kuma-49% ukuya kwi-16% kwiinyanga ezimbini ezidlulileyo. Ukulinganiswa kukaCarson kuhlala kuphezulu kuma-57% - 25%, kodwa oku kwehle ukusuka kuma-65% - 11% emi ngo-Okthobha.

Umcimbi ophambili wabavoti beRiphabhlikhi kwilizwe liphela kukhuseleko lwesizwe kunye nobunqolobi (iipesenti ezingama-39 zokukhetha kuqala / iipesenti ezili-18 zikhetho lwesibini), zilandelwa luqoqosho kunye nemisebenzi (iipesenti ezili-19 zokuqala ukukhetha / iipesenti ezingama-22 yesibini) Inqanaba elilandelayo lomcimbi liquka iirhafu kunye nenkcitho karhulumente (iipesenti ezili-12 zokuqala ukukhetha / iipesenti ezili-13 zesibini) kunye nokufudukela kwelinye ilizwe (iipesenti ezili-9 zokuqala / i-16% yesibini). Imiba yezentlalo (4% / 7%), ulawulo lwemipu (3% / 6%), kunye nemfundo (3% / 5%) zibeka kude kakhulu kuluhlu.

Inkqubo ye- IYunivesithi yaseMonmouth Poll yenziwa ngomnxeba ukusuka nge-10 ukuya kwi-13 kuDisemba, ngo-2015 nabantu abadala abali-1006 eMelika. Olu khululo lusekwe kwisampulu yabavoti ababhalisiweyo abangama-385 abazichonga njengamaRiphabhlikhi okanye abathembele kwiQela leRiphabhlikhi. Isampulu yokuvota inemida yempazamo yeepesenti ezi-5..0. I-poll yenziwa yi-Monmouth University Polling Institute eWest Long Branch, NJ.

Amanqaku Onokuthanda :