I-poll yase-New Jersey yomongameli ekhutshwe ngoLwesihlanu yi-Fairleigh Dickinson University ibonisa i-Republican Sen. John McCain elandelela i-Democratic Sen. u-Barack Obama ngamanani aphindwe kabini, i-49% -33%, kunye nokulawulwa kwe-Bush kunye ne-Iraq War kubangela umonakalo omkhulu kwi-GOP.
'Okukhona uMcCain enxulunyaniswa nemigaqo-nkqubo yolawulo lukaBush kokukhona iyenzakalisa inkxaso yakhe phakathi kwabavoti abazimeleyo, utshilo uDan Cassino, uprofesa wesayensi yezopolitiko eFairleigh Dickinson kunye nomhlalutyi wovavanyo kuphando lwePublicMind yunivesithi.
Ngokokuvota kukaCassino, i-18% yabavoti bathi bayawuvuma umsebenzi owenziwa nguMongameli uGeorge W. Bush ngelixa ama-75% engawamkeli. Yi-15% kuphela ethi eli lizwe lihamba ngendlela elungileyo kwaye phantse isithathu kwisine sithi ilizwe likhokelele kwicala elingalunganga.
I-poll okokuqala ibonisa ukuba akukho baninzi abavoti beRiphabhlikhi abavuma ukusebenza komsebenzi kaMongameli.
Abantu baseRiphabhlikhi bavotele ukwahlulwa ngokulinganayo kumbuzo kaBush ophethe umsebenzi wakhe nge-45% evuma kwaye i-46% ingavumi. Olunye utshintsho kukujonga kweRiphabhlikhi ngemfazwe yase-Iraq: Abavoti beRiphabhlikhi ngemida yababini ukuya kwababini bathe kwiipolitiki ezininzi zangaphambili ezaya emfazweni eIraq 'yayiyinto elungileyo ukuyenza' kodwa ngoku sisiqingatha kuphela esivumayo (51%) ngelixa i-41% isithi yimpazamo.
Akukho mathandabuzo ukuba imfazwe inefuthe elibalulekileyo kwiiDemokhrasi, ezizimeleyo kunye namaRiphabhlikhi ngokufanayo, utshilo uCassino. 'Inkxaso yemfazwe iyehla- nokuba imeko e-Iraq ibonakala ingcono- luphawu olubi kumaRiphabhlikhi.'
Iziphumo zovoto zikwabonisa ukuba sesichengeni kuka-Obama eNew Jersey.
Kwiintsuku ezimbini emva kokuba uSihlalo woMkhankaso waseMcCain uBill Baroni echonge abavoti abalahlayo uHilary Clinton njengeethagethi zephulo, i-poll ityhila ukuba i-18% yabaphenduli abathi bavotela uClinton ngoFebruwari 5.thngoku bathi bazakuxhasa iRiphabliki. Amashumi amathandathu anesine eepesenti abo bathe bavotela uClinton ngoku babonisa ukuba bazakuxhasa u-Obama ngo-Novemba.
Ngeendlela ezininzi, lo mdyarho uzakuba kukulwa abalandeli bakaClinton, utshilo uCassino. 'Lo mlo usekude ukuphela.'
Kodwa ukukhathala kukaBush kuhlala kuyinto enkulu- kwaye ubukhulu becala kuphakathi kwabazimeleyo.
Ukhokelo luka-Obama lonyuka kakhulu, ukusuka kumanqaku ayi-13 ukuya kwali-18 xa abavoti bebuza imibuzo malunga nomongameli kunye ne-Iraq ngaphambi kokuba babuzwe ukuba ngubani onokuvota kunyulo.
Ngokophando lwePublicMind, 'Isiqingatha sabaphenduli sabuzwa imibuzo malunga noBush kunye nemfazwe ngaphambi kokuba babuzwe ukuba bazokuvota bani kunyulo lukaNovemba, ngelixa elinye icala babuzwa malunga nomongameli kunye ne-Iraq emva koko.
'Impembelelo enkulu yokukhumbuza abavoti ngemicimbi yesizwe iza phakathi kwabavoti abazimeleyo. Phakathi kwabavoti abazimeleyo abangakhumbuziyo nge-Bush kunye ne-Iraq, u-Obama kunye noMcCain babopha ama-24% ukuya kuma-24% ngobuninzi be-48% engagqitywanga. Nangona kunjalo, xa abavoti abazimeleyo bekhunjuzwa ngemicimbi yesizwe, u-Obama uthatha amanqaku angama-27, ama-41% -14%, 'ngokokukhutshwa kwePublicMind.
Kwezinye iziphumo zovoto, iikota ezintathu zabavoti zithi ugqatso lomgqatswa ayibalulekanga ekuthatheni isigqibo ngevoti yabo; I-16% ithi yenye yezinto ezibalulekileyo kwaye i-8% ithi yeyona nto ibalulekileyo. Iipesenti ezingamashumi amabini anesibhozo zabavoti abavotelweyo bathi ubuhlanga abuyi kuba yinto ebalulekileyo kwabanye ngelixa i-46% isithi iyakuba yenye yezinto ezibalulekileyo kwaye i-15% ithi iya kuba yeyona nto ibalulekileyo kwindlela abanye abaya kukhetha ngayo.
I-poll yase-Fairleigh Dickinson yeYunivesithi yabangama-702 ababhalise abavoti kwilizwe lonke abavakalisa amathuba abo okuvota kunyulo lukaMongameli njengobulungisa okanye okungcono kuqhutywe ngomnxeba ukusukela nge-17 kaJuni ukuya kuthi ga kuJuni 23 kwaye inemida yempazamo yeepesenti ezingama-4/4.
