Umongameli waseRussia uVladimir Putin.MIKHAIL KLIMENTYEV / AFP / Getty Izithombe Ukubhengeza iMfazwe ebandayo kwinqaku malunga noko kwenziwa nguRussia uVladimir Putin eUnited States yimpazamo eyonqenayo nengaziwayo, kodwa kulo mzekelo-intsingiselo Ingxelo yakutshanje yiphaneli yePentagon enamalungu angama-23 , ikhutshwe esidlangalaleni kodwa ayichazwanga ngokubanzi, ukuba iUnited States neRashiya sele zingabaphikisi kwi ungquzulwano , nokuba enye kwi indawo engwevu phakathi kokusebenzisana ngoxolo kunye nokudubula Imfazwe loo nto ingangqinelana ngokupheleleyo naloo ndlela ngaphandle kokuba i-U.S. ingaphikisana nayo-kunzima ukufumana ukufana kwakhona.
Imfazwe ebandayo yayiyi Imfazwe— kodwa ayithandi i-Iraq okanye iVietnam kwaye ngokuqinisekileyo ayithandi Imfazwe yesibini (II) yeHlabathi , ngomlo ovulekileyo nongathintelwanga kwihlabathi liphela-kodwa yayiyimeko yobutshaba phakathi kwababini ababekhuphisana ngamandla amakhulu kumzabalazo oqhubekayo wokunqanda umchasi wabo kodwa ngaphandle kokujikela ukwenzakalisa okanye ukuthatha isiqwenga senyama, ungaze ufike kwisibetho esibulalayo wonke umntu wayesazi ukuba kunokwenzeka. Njengokungena kumdlalo wokutyhala kunye nomntu wonke umntu uyazi ukuba uyamthiya, ngelixesha uvule uvule .
Ukufunda uhlalutyo lwento uPutin waseRussia anayo ukuza kuthi ga ngoku Iinjongo zobuchule zaseRussia -Ngokunye, kujongela phantsi amaziko akhululekileyo aseNtshona ngobugqwetha, ukhuphiswano lwezoqoqosho kunye nokungenelela kwe-cyber kubandakanya nokungenelela kunyulo kunye nemikhankaso yokuchasana nolwazi, kunye nokulwa kanye nemikhosi yokulwa yase-US, nangona bekukho nabameli kubandakanya nenkxaso-mali eyimfihlakalo- umntu uyeva inkcazo yongquzulwano olulinganiselweyo ngokufana neMfazwe ebandayo.
Okungakumbi ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, kwimbono kaVladimir Putin kunye nezinye iinkokheli zaseRussia ezingakhuselekanga, iRussia sele izibona ngathi iyalwa ne-US kunye ne-West xa iyonke, ngokomgca wentetho eyenziweyo UChristopher Marsh , Ingcali yaseRussia kwitanki yokucinga encinci ezaliswe ziivenkile zomkhosi ezininzi, ezibizwa ngokuba yi-Special Operations Research Association (SORA).
Mhlawumbi, kuba yintoni isihogo emfazweni, kunjalo? Ngokwolu hlalutyo lukaClaus ewitz (endikhe andamfunda ngokwenyani kodwa ndizamile kanye okanye kabini, kwaye ndinayo ikopi yayo Kwimfazwe ), Imfazwe phantse ibe lixesha lobugcisa, ingeyiyo imeko yokungena emva kokuwela umgca wokucinga. Akukho meko yemfazwe kwaye ingeyiyo eyomkhosi yamandla okhuphisana, kodwa ubeke kancinci ngokwe-dialectically, wawusele usemfazweni xa ukudubula kwaqala-leyo yayilinyathelo nje lokugqibela okanye ukuwela kwicala elingalunganga, apho wawusele usinge khona.
Leyo yinkcazo yemfazwe ngokwendlela yokuqonda kwePentagon-akukho sicelo sivela kwiCongress, ukucelwa kwamagunya angaqhelekanga okanye i-tweetstorm eyimfuneko- kunye nabantu baseRussia. Ukusuka kwimbono yaseKremlin, le mfazwe ayiphelele, kodwa, ibalulekile-uhlobo 'lwemfazwe' oluchasene nokuqonda jikelele kwe-US malunga nemfazwe, ngokutsho komnye wababhali bengxelo, UDaniel Goure , owayesebenza ngokufutshane kwiSebe likaRhulumente kwangoko, kulawulo lweMfazwe yase-Iraq yangaphambi kwe-Iraq kwaye umvuzo wakhe uvela kwiLexington Institute, itanki lokucinga elincinci laseWashington kanye kuchazwe ngu Harper ’s njengeshishini lezentengiso lezentengiso.
Ezinye zezinto ezifunyaniswe yile ngxelo-ngakumbi, ezithi iRussia ilwa ne-United States, ngoku-kubonakala ngathi zivela kwiitanki zokucinga ezingacacanga. Ngubani okhathalayo ukuba umhlalutyi uxhaswe ngubani ( Isinxibo sikaGoure asitsho ) ucinga?
Ngethemba, uMongameli uDonald Trump, iCongress kunye noluntu lwaseMelika, kuba yile nto bacinga ngayo abacebisi babo abaphambili emkhosini, ngokwe-Admiral yangemva kweNqanawa uJeffrey Czerewko , owayesakuba ngumqhubi wenqwelomoya kunye nomcebisi ophezulu emkhosini wePentagon otyikitye intshayelelo yengxelo; Abanye ababhali baquka izifundiswa kwiYunivesithi yaseMelika i-Military Academy kunye neYunivesithi yaseGeorge Washington, kunye neentloko zeethanki zokucinga ezineenjongo ezingathandabuzekiyo. Ingxelo yalungiswa njengenxalenye yeSebe lezoKhuselo loVavanyo lweeMultilayer ezininzi olucelwe yiPentagon copper.
Ngamanye amagama, le yeyona ngcinga iphambili-kwaye kunjalo nangeClausewitzian kunye neRussia yokuqonda ngemfazwe-kodwa kuphela phakathi kwabacingeli bezomkhosi. Amagosa anyuliweyo kunye namajelo eendaba awabelani nokuqonda okunjalo, kwaye baya kuqaphela ubudlelwane base-US-Russia nemfazwe kuphela ukuba amaMarines aseCrimea. Unokuweva ama-echoes kwiinkcazo zobudlelwane base-US ne-Iran, obunokuthi ube yimbambano embi nekhohlakeleyo , ukuba yayiyimfazwe-kodwa uhlaselo lwe-cyber kunye nemilo ye-espionage ayisiyiyo. Okanye ngaba kunjalo?
Bazi. Ngokubanzi, ukungqubana okwangoku kunye nexesha elizayo phakathi kwamagunya amakhulu kunokwenzeka ukuba kwenzeke ngaphantsi kwenqanaba lomlo oxhobileyo, ubhale watsho uCzerewko. Imisebenzi yaseRussia evusa inkanuko… ibandakanya ukuqeshwa okucwangcisiweyo komkhosi kunye neendlela ezingezizo zomkhosi ukunqanda nokunyanzelisa i-U.S, amahlakani ayo, ukuya nasemva kokuqhambuka kobundlobongela.
Ezi zicwangciso kufuneka zijongane nazo, okanye isoyikiso semfazwe exhobileyo sinokunyuka, wongeze watsho.
Loluphi undoqo kuhlalutyo lonke: ukuba i-United States kufuneka ithelekise kwaye ithintele ubundlongondlongo baseRussia. Enye ingxaki kukuba i-United States sele isenza okuninzi okwenziwa ngamaRussia-ubuncinci malunga nenkxaso-mali kunye neeproxies zokuxhobisa, ukusebenzisa amandla athambileyo, njengezohlwayo zoqoqosho kunye nokhuphiswano, kunye nokuhlola rhoqo. Enye into kukuba uphawu lwaseMelika okwangoku lubuhlungu-abantu baseRussia bayakwazi ukwenza imali kumacandelo ekhaya, ukubonisa ukuba i-U.S iyisiphithiphithi, kungoko kutheni kufuneka umntu asebenze nathi?
Enye ingxaki ibonakala ingumphathi oyintloko emkhosini, i-rally yakhe yase-4 yase-Nuremberg kunye ne-tank bunting yayingumxholo we-intanethi, kunye Icandelo elihlekisayo Kumabonwakude ophethwe ngurhulumente waseRussia.
Ngaphandle kokusebenzela u-kibosh umbhobho wepetroli oyilayini yobomi kuqoqosho lwaseRussia, uTrump uqinisekile ukuba akabonakali eyibona iRashiya njengesoyikiso, ubuncinci kungekho nelinye nge-Iran. Nokuba i-Iran okanye iNorth Korea ayichasananga ne-US phantse neRussia-kwaye noTrump woyikisile abo babini bokuqala ngentshabalalo. kwaye iyaqhubeka iyothusa kakhulu kunye nephulo elivulekileyo lokunconywa nguPutin.
Ngaba sisemfazweni? Impendulo enye ixhomekeke kwinto oyithethayo ngemfazwe. Omnye ewe. Into okhetha ukuyikholelwa, njengesiqhelo, ngokucacileyo ixhomekeke kuwe.
Ukuba ufunda 'iSicwangciso esiliQili soVavanyo lweeMultilayer (i-SMA) kwiPhepha leNgcaciso yoMgaqo-nkqubo' kwi-Russian Strategic Injongo, 'kwaye ucinga ukuba ikhoyo / ikamva litsha, unokufuna ukuyifunda le nto (ukusukela ngo-1961) kwaye ubuze ukuba siyayilwela Imfazwe esikuyo okanye enye into: pic.twitter.com/al7zUFIN62
-Mat Armstrong (@mountainrunner) Nge-2 kaJulayi ngo-2019
