Phakathi kwabo banokuthi bavote ngo-Novemba, umda we-Democrat uya kwi-49% -41%. Ngokubalulekileyo, uClinton ubambe i-47% ukuya kwi-39% ekhokelela kumazwe abalulekileyo e-swing-amazwe alishumi apho umda ophumeleleyo kunyulo luka-2012 wawungaphantsi kwamanqaku asixhenxe.
UClinton unenkxaso ye-87% yamaDemokhrasi kwaye uTrump unenkxaso ye-84% yamaRiphabhlikhi, ngelixa abantu abazimeleyo bahlula ama-42% kuClinton kunye nama-37% kuTrump. Umsantsa wesini mkhulu kakhulu, uClinton ukhokela phakathi kwabasetyhini ngamanqaku angama-27 (57% -30%) ngelixa iTrump ikhokela phakathi kwamadoda ngamanqaku ali-13 (50% -37%). UClinton ukwaphethe ithuba lokuyalela phakathi kwabavoti abamnyama, amaSpanishi kunye nabaseAsia (72% -17%), ngelixa uTrump ekhokela phakathi kwabavoti abamhlophe (49% -38%).
Xa umtyunjwa weLibertarian uGary Johnson kunye nomgqatswa okhokelayo weGreen Party uJill Stein bongezwa kumxube, ukukhokela kukaClinton kuncipha kancinci ukuya kumanqaku ama-6 phakathi kwabavoti ababhalisiweyo - iipesenti ezingama-42 ukuya kuma-36% kuTrump, uJohnson efumana i-9% aze uStein afumane ama-4%. UClinton ukhokela uTrump ngamanqaku ayi-7- 44% ukuya kuma-37 %- phakathi kwabavoti kolu khuphiswano lweendlela ezine.
UClinton unelungelo njengoko iphulo lonyulo jikelele liqala, ngakumbi kwi-swing state. Nangona kunjalo, yonke imiqondiso ikhomba ku-2016 ojika eyona nyulo iphambili kwimemori, utshilo uPatrick Murray, umlawuli weziko elizimeleyo leYunivesithi yaseMolling Poll.
Akukho mgqatswa uphambili weqela uthandwa kakhulu. UClinton ufumana i-36% elungileyo kunye ne-52% yokufumana okungathandekiyo ngelixa uTrump ebambe ama-28% amabi ngakumbi kwaye ama-57% engathandekiyo. Ezi ziphumo azitshintshanga ubukhulu becala kwi IYunivesithi yaseMonmouth Poll ithathwe ngo-Matshi. Phantse isiqingatha sabo bonke abavoti (i-49%) bathi kubaluleke kakhulu kubo ukuba baqiniseke ukuba uTrump akonyulwa njengoMongameli, xa kuthelekiswa nama-31% abathi oku akubalulekanga konke konke. Bambalwa abavoti (41%) abathi kubaluleke kakhulu ukugcina uClinton ephuma e-White House xa kuthelekiswa ne-35% abathi le nkxalabo ayibalulekanga kubo. Phakathi kwabavoti abangakhethi zigqibo okanye okwangoku bakhetha umntu wesithathu, i-48% ithi kubaluleke kakhulu kubo ukuthintela uloyiso lukaTrump ngelixa i-32% isitsho ngokufanayo ngoClinton.
Malunga nomnye kwabavoti abasixhenxe bangathanda ukuvota kumgqatswa wesithathu. Uloyiko lukaClinton okanye uTrump lokungena kwi-White House, nangona kunjalo, lunokukhokelela ekubeni abanye babambe iimpumlo zabo kwaye bavotele elinye iqela eliphakanyisiweyo. Kwaye ngoku, uloyiso lukaTrump lubonakala njengesiphumo esibuhlungu kwaba bavoti, utshilo uMurray.
Kwimibandela, abavoti abambalwa babona uClinton (47%) njengobenokwazi kunoTrump (44%) wokujongana noqoqosho kunye nemisebenzi. Umba wakhe wokuxhamla ngokufanayo umxinwa ekusingatheni ubungozi bobunqolobi kumhlaba wase-US- ama-46% akhetha uClinton aze ama-44% akhethe iTrump.
Ngokudutyulwa eOrlando kutsha ezingqondweni zabavoti, ngama-29% athi urhulumente wase-US wenza ngokwaneleyo ukuthintela uhlaselo lwabanqolobi lwasekhaya ngelixa i-64% isithi ayenzi ngokwaneleyo. Ezi ziphumo azitshintshanga ikakhulu kuvoto yaseMonmouth ethathwe kwakamsinya emva kokudubula eSan Bernardino kunyaka ophelileyo (iipesenti ezingama-31 zisenza ngokwaneleyo kwaye i-62% ingenzi ngokwaneleyo ngoDisemba 2015).
Uninzi lwabavoti (iipesenti ezingama-52) bathi abemi base-U.S. Abaxatyaliswayo benza isoyikiso esikhulu kunabanqolobi baphesheya abangenela ilizwe (iipesenti ezingama-29). Olu luvo lutshintshile ngamanqaku nje ambalwa ukusukela ngoDisemba, xa i-48% yalatha kubunqolobi obusekhaya njengesoyikiso esikhulu ngelixa i-36% yayixhalabile malunga nabanqolobi baphesheya.
Okwangoku, i-21% yabaxhasi bavota kwaye i-70% iphikisana nokuvalwa kwawo onke amaSilamsi angena e-U.S, uTrump aqala ukuyicebisa emva kohlaselo lwaseSan Bernardino. Uluvo ngesi siphakamiso emva phaya yayiyinkxaso ye-27% efanayo kwaye i-65% iyaphikisa.
Ukusukela e-Orlando, uTrump ukwacebisile ngengubo yokufudukela kwelinye ilizwe nxamnye naye nawuphina umntu ohlala kwilizwe apho bekukho imbali yobunqolobi ngokuchasene neNtshona. Abavoti bayasikhaba esi sicelo, kunye ne-34% kuphela evumayo xa kuthelekiswa ne-57% echasayo.
Ukujikela kumcimbi wolawulo lwemipu, abavoti kunokwenzeka ukuba baxhase ukuthengiswa kwezixhobo zolo hlaselo njengaleyo yayisetyenziswa kuqhushumbo lwaseOrlando, ngama-52% bexhasa eso sithintelo kunye neepesenti ezingama-43 bezichasa.
Inkqubo ye- IYunivesithi yaseMonmouth Poll yenziwa ngomnxeba ukusukela nge-15 kuye nge-19 kuJuni ngo-2016 nabantu abangama-803 ababhalisileyo eMelika. Iziphumo kolu khululo zinomda wemposiso ye-3.5 yeepesenti. Uvoto lwenziwe liziko laseMonmouth kwiPolling Institute kwiWest Long Branch.
