Umgqatswa onguMongameli weDemokhrasi uBernie Sanders uthetha kwiJefferson Jackson Dinner ngoNovemba 29, 2015 eManchester, NH (Ifoto: Darren McCollester / Getty Images) I-poll entsha emangalisayo nguQuinnipiac iphakamisa ukuba uBernie Sanders ngoyena mntu ungonyulwa kwiqela ukuba abe ngumongameli olandelayo wase-United States.
Kwivoti yeQuinnipiac, uMnu.Sanders uza koyisa umphambili weRiphabhlikhi uDonald Trump ngamanqaku asibhozo, ngelixa uHillary Clinton angamoyisa ngamanqaku amathandathu kuphela. Umnumzana Sanders uza koyisa uBen Carson ngamanqaku amathandathu, ngelixa u-Ms Clinton angamoyisa ngamathathu kuphela. Umnumzana Sanders uza koyisa i-Texas Republican Senator u-Ted Cruz ngamanqaku ali-10, ngexa u-Ms Clinton angamoyisa ngamanqaku amahlanu. Umnumzana uSanders kunye noNks uClinton baya koyisa uSenator waseRiphabhlikhi waseFlorida uMarco Rubio ngenqaku elinye.
Ngelixa iipolls zihlala zibonisa iziphumo ezahlukileyo, kukho ezinye iipolls ezibonisa ipateni efanayo kumandla ezopolitiko ahambelanayo nabagqatswa beDemocratic and Republican. Ukuba i-poll ye-Quinnipiac ibonakala ichanekile, iimpembelelo zezopolitiko zinzulu.
Ngoku kuyacaca ukuba bonke abagqatswa kulo naliphi na iqela kukhuphiswano lobongameli u-Bernie Sanders ukhethwa ngakumbi kunoHillary Clinton, uDonald Trump, uBen Carson, uTed Cruz noMarco Rubio.
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Ngelixa oku kuyothusayo kunokwenzeka ngokuchasene nobunye obuqhelekileyo obuqhelekileyo bobulumko bezopolitiko, kukho izizathu ezibambekayo ezinokuba yinyani.
UNks.Clinton angakhokela njani kuMnumzana uSanders kuphando ngalunye lwelizwe lamaDemokhrasi, ngelixa uMnu.Trump ekhokele kakhulu kuwo onke amaRiphabhlikhi kuninzi lwelizwe lamaRiphabhlikhi, ngelixa uMnu.Sanders angangoyena ungonyuliweyo umgqatswa wobongameli kuliphi na iqela kunyulo jikelele?
Impendulo, ukuba le ithisisi ibonakala iyinyani, ilula ngokwenyani. Abongameli banyulwa kunyulo jikelele, hayi kwiziprayimari nakwiikhokhasi ezikhetha abonyuliweyo. Unyulo jikelele alugqitywa liqela labavoti kwimikhankaso yokutyumba iDemokhrasi neRiphabliki, kodwa luvoto olubanzi lwabavoti kwiphulo lonyulo jikelele apho ophumeleleyo edla ngokuba ngumgqatswa onokufumana ezona voti zininzi kwezopolitiko nakumalungu Elinye iqela kwivoti egqibeleleyo ngomhla woNyulo ngoLwesibini wokuqala ku-Novemba.
Kunokwenzeka ukuba uNks. Kuyenzeka ngokulinganayo ukuba ngenxa yezizathu zokuba uMnu.Trump abambe indawo ekhokelayo phakathi kweRiphabhlikhi uchasana nenani elikhulu labazimeleyo kunye neeDemokhrasi, xa kuthelekiswa noMnu Sanders.
Ezona zinto zinomdla kwaye zibalulekileyo ezichaza ukuba kutheni uMnu.Sanders ngoku enokwenza ityala elithembekileyo lokuba anganyulwa ngaphezulu kwakhe nawuphi na umgqatswa weDemokhrasi okanye weRiphabhlikhi kumongameli zezi zilandelayo.
Okokuqala, uMnu.Sanders unemilinganiselo ephezulu kakhulu yokuthembeka, ukuthembakala kunye nokunyaniseka kunyaka wonyulo apho inani elikhulu labavoti liziva lingathembeki kubantu abaphezulu bezopolitiko nakumaziko eendaba.
Okwesibini, uMnu.Sanders ubonakalisa umgqatswa wokudlala ococekileyo kwi-ajenda eqhubela phambili enamandla kwaye ndingathi, uninzi lwenkxaso yabavoti baseMelika.
Umnumzana Sanders ukhankasela urhwaphilizo lwemali olugqugqisa ezopolitiko zase-Melika-endaweni yohlengahlengiso olukhulu lweWall Street ukwenza inkqubo yethu yezemali ibe yelunge ngakumbi, yemfundo yasimahla yasekholejini exhaswa yirhafu yentengiselwano kwiWall Street, ukonyuka izibonelelo zokhuseleko kwezentlalo ngexesha xa abantu baseMelika bengazukufumana zindleko zokunyuswa kwezentlalo, kunye nenkqubo yezonyango eya kuthi yehlise iindleko zonyango ukogqitha u-ObamaCare okanye uGOP uceba ukuphelisa u-Obama ngaphandle kokubonelela ngenye indlela ethembekileyo.
Ezi zikhundla zonke zinenkxaso eyomeleleyo evela kubavoti kwaye zinikezelwa ngumgqatswa onedumela elomeleleyo lokuxhasa uguquko olukhulu kunye nokungalingani kwemivuzo ngamanqanaba aphezulu okuthembeka kunye nokuthenjwa.
Ndiphikisile ukusukela ngo-2007 ukuba iMelika ilungele uguquko oluqhubekekayo lwesintu kwisithethe soomongameli abanjengoTheodore noFranklin Roosevelt. Ngo-2007 nango-2008, ndaluxhasa kakhulu unyulo luka-Mongameli u-Obama, owathembisa olo tshintsho, olwagqibela ngokuba luyinkohliso yiyo loo nto kwakudala ndavuma ukuba ndiyamxhasa uMnu.
I-Quinnipiac poll, kunye nezinye iipolls ezifanayo, zibonelela ngenkxaso yedatha esekwe kwimeko apho u-populism oqhubela phambili, hayi i-conservatism, liliza lekamva abantu baseMelika abakhetha ukuba banikwe ukhetho.
Ngelixa ezinye ii-polls zibonisa iziphumo ezifanayo kwaye ezinye azenzi njalo, ndingacebisa enye ingcinga yanamhlanje: kwiingxoxo ezizayo zeDemokhrasi uMnu.Sanders angenza ityala elinokuthenjwa kunalo naliphi na elinye iDemokhrasi okanye iRiphabhlikhi esebenzela umongameli ukuba ngoyena mntu ungonyulekayo, nakweliphi na iqela, kwiphulo lika-2016.
