Eyona Ezopolitiko Uvukelo lweNtloko ngokuchasene neTrump luyaqala

Uvukelo lweNtloko ngokuchasene neTrump luyaqala

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Kwikholamu yamva nje, ndacacisa indlela ulawulo lukaTrump olusakhayo olusele lusenza ngayo ingozi enkulu kubuhlakani obude baseMelika bezobuntlola behlabathi. Ngokukodwa, uloyiko lokuba iNdlu yeWhite inobuhlobo kakhulu eMoscow ibangela ukuba amaqabane asondeleyo anciphise ubudlelwane babo bobuhlakani neWashington- uphuhliso olunefuthe elibi kukhuseleko lwamanye amazwe, ngakumbi kwindawo ebaluleke kakhulu yokulwa ubunqolobi.

Ngoku ezo nkxalabo zibangela iingxaki kufutshane nekhaya-eneneni, ngaphakathi kweBeltway uqobo. Uluntu lwethu loBuntlola luxhalabile ngenxa yeengxaki ezingazange zibonwe ngaphambili zolawulo lukaTrump- ayisiyiyo kuphela into yokuba amagosa aphezulu abenamaqhina aphazamisayo eKremlin, kukho imibuzo ephikisayo malunga nobuchule obusisiseko ngokubhekisele kwiqela leTrump- ukuba liqala ukubamba ubukrelekrele kwi-White House Iintlola zethu azithembi.

Ukuba i-IC inezizathu ezaneleyo zokuxhalaba kuboniswa phantse kukutyhilwa kwemihla ngemihla kweengxaki ezinkulu ngaphakathi kwi-White House, kwiiveki nje ezintathu emva kokusungulwa. Umongameli uye waphindaphinda ukuphuma kwakhe indlela yokuchasana neentlola zethu, ebagculela kwaye ethoba isidima umsebenzi wabo, kwaye uTrump okhuselweyo kukazwelonke obalaseleyo akanakubonakala egcina ibali lakhe lithe ngqo kwimicimbi ebalulekileyo.

NguMike Flynn lowo, uMkhosi oMhlala phantsi othathe umhlala-phantsi oziintloko ezintathu ngoku okhokela iBhunga lezoKhuseleko kuZwelonke. Ngokungathandwa kakhulu eWashington ngenxa yobuntu bakhe obukrwada kunye nokukhetha iyelenqe-lokufunda iinyani zobukrelekrele, uFlynn wagxothwa njengentloko yeArhente yezobuNtlola yezoKhuselo yokungaziphathi kakuhle kunye nokugweba okungalunganga-iimpazamo azizise kwi-NSC enamandla kakhulu nezopolitiko.

Iingxaki zikaFlynn ngenyaniso zibonakalisiwe kukukhula okukhohlakeleyo malunga nokusebenzisana kwakhe neMoscow. Amaqhina angaqhelekanga e-Kremlin, kubandakanya no-Vladimir Putin ngokwakhe, abambe u-Flynn okoko wayishiya i-DIA, kwaye inkxalabo ngesigwebo sakhe inyuke kakhulu okoko kwavezwa ukuba emva konyulo luka-Novemba 8, uFlynn wabiza kaninzi i-ambassade yaseRussia eWashington ukuxoxa ngotshintsho . I-White House iyala ukuba nantoni na eyenzekayo ivele kwincoko phakathi kukaFlynn noSergei Kislyak, inxusa laseRussia.

Obo yayibubuxoki, njengoko kungqinwa ngumthombo obanzi Ingxelo yebhombu phakathi Inkqubo ye- IWashington Post , ecacisa gca ukuba u-Flynn wayichaza gwenxa iincoko zakhe no-Kislyak-ekuye kwenzeka ukuba kwenzeke phambi konyulo, eyinxalenye yencoko eqhelekileyo nonozakuzaku wase-Russia. Ukubiza eli lungiselelo ngokungaqhelekanga kakhulu kwezopolitiko zaseMelika kuya kuba sisisa kakhulu.

Ngokukodwa, uFlynn noKislyak baxoxe ngokususwa okunokwenzeka kukaMongameli u-Obama eRashiya kunye neenkonzo zayo zobuntlola ngasekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo ngokuziphindezela kokungenelela kweKremlin kunyulo lwethu luka-2016. Esidlangalaleni, uFlynn wayephika kaninzi ukuba nayiphi na intetho yezohlwayo yenzekile ngencoko yakhe nonozakuzaku waseRussia. Okubi nangakumbi, wayexoka ngasese naye, kubandakanya no-Sekela Mongameli uMike Pence, owathi xa eli hlazo laqhekeka kwinyanga ephelileyo wakhanyela esidlangalaleni ukuba uFlynn wenza nasiphi na isohlwayo esithetha noKislyak. UPence kunye nabasebenzi bakhe Kuxelwe ukucaphuka kakhulu ngumcebisi wezokhuseleko kuzwelonke, owayedlala usekela-mongameli ngesidenge.

Kuyaphikiswa ukuba ngaba uFlynn waphula nayiphi na imithetho ngokwenza uthethathethwano ngokungekho semthethweni neMoscow, emva koko waxoka malunga nayo, kwaye ngoku wamkele isiko laseBeltway lokubaleka malunga naloo nto, etshitshisa ukwala kwakhe kwangaphambili esithi akazukukhumbula ukuxoxa ngesohlwayo, esongeza ukuba wayengenakuqiniseka ukuba isihloko asikaze size. Ayilunganga ngokwaneleyo, kuba i-IC iyazi kakuhle into exoxwe nguFlynn noKislyak.

Kuninzi kakhulu kwikomkhulu lehlabathi, oonozakuzaku ababonelela ngendawo yokugcina iinkonzo zobukrelekrele baphantsi koqwalaselo lobukrelekrele, kubandakanya nokujonga iminxeba. Iinkonzo zethu zobuntlola zenza uphawu lobukrelekrele-SIGINT ngokufutshane-ngokuchasene nomzi wommeli waseRussia eWashington, kanye njengoko amaRashiya esenza nxamnye nomzi wommeli wethu eMoscow. Iifowuni zoonozakuzaku zezi njalo ibekwe esweni: injalo indlela IspyWar isebenza, naphina.

U-Ambassador Kislyak wayeyazi ngokuqinisekileyo ukuba iincoko zakhe no-Flynn zazinqandwa, kwaye ayiqondakali into yokuba igosa lezobuntlola kwezomkhosi elalikhe lakhokela i-arhente yezobuntlola alizange liqonde ngokufanayo. Nokuba u-Flynn usisiyatha kakhulu okanye unekratshi ngumbuzo omkhulu oxhonywe kule nto yokungaqhelekanga.

Iidemokhrasi ezibalaseleyo kwiCongress sele zifuna uFlynn ukuba akhululeke kwesi sigxina, esimbonisa ngokunganyaniseki malunga nemicimbi ebalulekileyo. UAdam Schiff, oyintloko kwiDemokhrasi kwiKomiti yezeNtlola yeNdlu ngokungathandabuzekiyo wabuza ukukhutshwa komcebisi wezokhuseleko kuzwelonke. Abantu baseRiphabhlikhi kwiNduli abanokukhetha ukuba iNdlu yeWhite iyeke ukuxoka eluntwini malunga neendawo zayo zaseKremlin kufuneka ibuyele emva kwenyathelo likaSchiff ngaphambi kokuba ihlazo liqhubeke.

Ngokwenyani, inokuba sele ihambile ixesha. Entsha ingxelo ye-CNN ibonisa ukuba iinxalenye ezibalulekileyo zedosisi eyaziwayo eyathi yayikhanyisa izibophelelo zikaMongameli uTrump ezimdaka eMoscow ziye zangqinwa yimixholo yonxibelelwano. Ngamanye amagama, i-SIGINT iyabetha kwakhona, inikezela ubungqina obuphambili obubonisa amanye amabango enziwe kwingxelo enamaphepha angama-35 ehlanganiswe nguChristopher Steele, owayesakuba ligosa lezobuntlola laseBritane elinamava eRashiya.

Njengoko bendikhe ndachaza ngaphambili, loo dossier inesisa bubukrelekrele obungafunekiyo, indibaniselwano yenyani kunye nefantasy, kubandakanya ulwazi olungelulo olutyalwe yiKremlin ukusithelisa eli tyala sele likho. Ngoku i-SIGINT iyangqina ukuba ezinye zeendawo ezingezizo ezobungangamsha zoko kwabikwa nguSteele, ngakumbi indlela amagosa aphezulu aseRussia enza iyelenqe lokuncedisa uTrump kunyulo lonyaka ophelileyo, ngokusekwe enyanisweni. Ezi ziindaba ezimbi kwiNdlu yeWhite House, esele ikrokre ngumsindo, uNobhala weendaba u-Sean Spicer esithi, Siyaqhubeka nokucekiswa yingxelo yeendaba ezingezizo ze-CNN.

Oko akunakuphikwa, ewe, kwaye ndinokuqinisekisa kubahlobo bam abasasebenza e-IC ukuba i-SIGINT, engqinelana nezinye ze-Steele dossier, iyamgweba ulawulo. Iintlola zethu zonele kwezi zinto zidibanisayo zaseRussia-kwaye baqala ukubuyela umva.

Kukho iinkxalabo ezixhaphakileyo zokuba umongameli anganikeli ngqalelo kubukrelekrele.

Indlela izinto ezifudumeza ngayo phakathi kweNdlu eNtshonalanga kunye neepopu zibonakaliswa ngu ingxelo entsha ukuba i-CIA iyikhanyele imvume yezokhuseleko kwenye yee-acolyte zikaFlynn. URob Townley, owayesakuba ligosa lezobuntlola laseMarine elikhethwe ukuba lijongise phezulu kwidesika ye-NSC yase-Afrika, walelwa imvume yokuba abone ulwazi oluChukumisayo oluNabileyo (olufunekayo ukufikelela kwi-SIGINT ngokukodwa). Kutheni le nto i-SCI yase Townley yacitshiswayo ayicacanga-kunokuba ngaphezulu kweengxaki zobuqu okanye amaqhina angaphandle-kodwa indawo ye-CIA iye yagxekwa ngasese yi-White House, ejonga oku njenge-vendetta ngokuchasene no-Flynn. Ukuthi ukukhanyela i-Townley SCI kwathiwa kuvunywe nguMike Pompeo, umlawuli omtsha we-CIA okhethwe nguTrump ngokwakhe, wongeza kuphela kwintlungu.

Kukho iziphumo ezingxamisekileyo ze-IC ezenzekayo, nazo. Iintlola zethu azikaze ziyithande imeko kaTrump yokungakhathali ngokubhekisele kwi-Daily Brief kaMongameli, eyona nto ibuthathaka kuwo onke amaxwebhu e-IC, athe umphathi-mkhosi omtsha wawafumana ngokungazenzisiyo. Umongameli uhlala eyiphulula i-PDB iyonke, enika uFlynn uxinizelelo kwisishwankathelo sephepha elinye ngaphandle kwamanqaku eembumbulu alithoba. Abanye abakwi-IC bakhululekile koku, kodwa kukho iingxaki ezixhaphakileyo zokuba umongameli akanikeli ngqalelo kwezobuntlola.

Ekukhanyeni koku, nangaphandle kwexhala malunga nokukwazi ukugcina iimfihlo ze-White House, ezinye zearhente zethu ze-spy ziqale ukubamba ubukrelekrele kwiOval Office. Kutheni ubeka emngciphekweni olona lwazi lwakho lubuthathaka ukuba umongameli angayihoya? Igosa eliphezulu le-Arhente yoKhuseleko kuZwelonke lacacisa ukuba i-NSA yayicwangcisile ukubamba ezinye zezinto ezilungileyo ezivela kwi-White House, ngendlela engazange ibonwe. Kumashumi eminyaka, i-NSA ilungiselele iingxelo ezikhethekileyo zamehlo kamongameli kuphela, eziqulathe ubukrelekrele obunobuntununtunu obukhulu. Kwiiveki ezintathu ezidlulileyo, nangona kunjalo, i-NSA iyekile ukwenza oku, esoyika uTrump kunye nabasebenzi bakhe abakwazi ukugcina ezona mfihlo zabo ziSIGINT.

Kuba i-NSA ibonelela ngento efana neepesenti ezingama-80 zobukrelekrele obusebenzayo kurhulumente wethu, into egcinwe kwiNdlu yeWhite ingabaluleka kakhulu. Nangona kunjalo, ezo nkxalabo zabiwa ngokubanzi kwi-IC, kwaye i-NSA ayibonakali njenge-arhente kuphela ebamba ubukrelekrele kulawulo ngenxa yoloyiko lokhuseleko.

Okwenzekayo kwacaciswa kakuhle ligosa eliphezulu lobukrelekrele lasePentagon, elathi ukusukela nge-20 kaJanuwari, sicinge ukuba iKremlin ineendlebe ngaphakathi kwe-SITROOM, oko kuthetha ukuba Igumbi leMeko ye-White House, igumbi lenkomfa yeenyawo ezingama-5,500 eNtshona. Iphiko apho umongameli kunye nabasebenzi bakhe abaphezulu bafumana iingcaciso zobukrelekrele. Akukho nto amaRussia angayaziyo ngeli xesha, igosa longeze kukhathazeka.

Akukho nto yenzekileyo eWashington ngaphambili. INdlu ye-White House enezinto ezingashukumiyo eMoscow yayingeyonto ikhoyo kwiPentagon okanye kuLuntu lwezoBukrelekrele nokuba kuthathelwa ingqalelo into enokwenzeka kude kube kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo. Kude kube liQela uTrump licacisa ubudlelwane balo obungaqhelekanga ne-Kremlin, kwaye liqale ukusebenza ngokunyaniseka kobuchwephesha, i-IC izakuya kulawulo ngononophelo nangexhala.

Ngaphambili ndaye ndalumkisa ulawulo lukaTrump ukuba angayi emfazweni kunye neentlola zesizwe, nantsi ke isizathu. Le yimeko enobungozi, ngakumbi kuba uMongameli uTrump uqhele ukwenza iingxaki zangaphandle nezasekhaya ngeetweets zakhe ezingathandekiyo. Kwimeko yeengxaki ezinkulu zamanye amazwe zohlobo oluza kuthi ekugqibeleni lwehlele phantse lonke ulawulo, i-White House iyakudinga obona bukrelekrele bungcono ekuthinteleni imfazwe, nokuba yimfazwe yenyukliya. Isenokungafumani lwazi iludingayo kuloo yure yentlekele, kwaye ayinamntu wokugxeka ngaphandle kwayo.

UJohn Schindler yingcali yezokhuseleko kunye nowayesakuba ngumhlalutyi weArhente yoKhuseleko kuZwelonke kunye negosa lobukrelekrele. Ingcali kwezobuntlola kunye nobunqolobi, ukwaligosa lomkhosi wamanzi kunye nenjingalwazi yeWar College. Upapashe iincwadi ezine kwaye uku-Twitter ku @ 20committee.

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