Eyona Ijezi-Entsha Yezopolitiko I-Suffolk Poll: UClinton kunye noTrump badityaniswe kwibala lemfazwe iOhio

I-Suffolk Poll: UClinton kunye noTrump badityaniswe kwibala lemfazwe iOhio

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UGerald Herbert / AP; UAndrew Harnik / AP



Njengoko uDonald Trump kunye nabathunywa beRiphabhlikhi belungiselela ukuvala indibano yeqela labo eCleveland, uvoto olutsha lweYunivesithi yaseSuffolk yaseOhio lubonisa ugqatso lobushushu obufileyo kwilizwe laseBuckeye, kunye noMdemokhrasi uHillary Clinton noTrump bebotshelelwe ngepesenti ezingama-44 kunye neepesenti ezili-11 .

Indawo yemfazwe yaseOhio izuze igama njenge-bellwether yendlela isizwe esivota ngayo kunyulo lukamongameli, kunye nembali ende yokukhetha ophumeleleyo.

Kwimeko yeendlela ezine, otyunjiweyo weGreen Party uJill Stein kunye noLibertarian uGary Johnson bongeze kumxube, uClinton wamaphethelo eTrump ama-43 epesenti ukuya kwiipesenti ezingama-39 e-Ohio, noJohnson efumana iipesenti ezi-5, uStein 1 weepesenti kunye neepesenti ezili-12 ezingagqitywanga.

Bobabini uClinton noTrump bajongwa ngokungathandekiyo sisininzi sabavoti, noClinton ujongelwe ukuba abe ngabavoti abangama-41 kwaye ngokungathandekiyo ngama-51 epesenti, ngelixa uTrump eneepesenti ezingama-38 ezithandekayo kunye neepesenti ezingama-53 ezingathandekiyo.

Olu luvo lubi kakhulu lwabagqatswa luza ngaphandle kwentengiso enzima kaClinton e-Ohio ekhokelela kwiNgqungquthela yeRiphabhlikhi kunye neenzame zikaTrump zokuphembelela ubugqwetha bakhe ngeentetho ezininzi zokuqala ezivela kumalungu osapho, utshilo uDavid Paleologos, umlawuli weZiko loPhando lwezoPolitiko leYunivesithi yaseSuffolk eBoston. . Indibano yeRiphabhlikhi esekwe e-Ohio kusenokwenzeka ukuba bekulindelwe ukuba inike uTrump i-bump phakathi kwabavoti bakarhulumente, ukanti ukungabathandi kwabo bobabini abagqatswa beliqela kuguqulela ukungazithembi malunga nolonyulo oluzayo.

Amashumi amahlanu anesihlanu eepesenti abavoti baseOhio bathi olu lonyulo lukaMongameli luye lwabenza batyhwatyhwa, ngelixa iipesenti ezingama-28 bonwabile, kwaye iipesenti ezisi-8 zisithi bakruqukile.

Xa bebuzwa, iipesenti ezingama-57 zabavoti base-Ohio bathi abavumelani nesityholo sikaTrump sokuba ukunyuka kwe-ISIS kunye nokuhlaselwa kwamaphekula e-United States nakwamanye amazwe kungenxa yobunkokheli obuthathaka obuvela kuNobhala welizwe u-Clinton kunye noMongameli u-Obama. Ukanti iipesenti ezingama-48 zabantu baseOhio zivumelana nesiphakamiso sikaTrump sokuvalwa okwethutyana kwabaphambukeli abangamaSilamsi, ngelixa iipesenti ezingama-45 zichasene. Nangona kunjalo, iipesenti ezingama-52 zithatha amaSilamsi aseMelika njengabemi abathembekileyo kunye nabalingane kumlo wokulwa nobunqolobi, ngelixa iipesenti ezingama-29 zathi amaMuslim aseMelika afuna ukujongwa ngokukodwa ngenxa yokoyikisa kobugrogrisi obuvela kwiindawo abahlala kuzo.

Kubonakala ngathi kukho unxibelelwano phakathi kwendlela abavoti baseOhio ababona ngayo amaSilamsi ahlala eMelika kunye nabo banqwenela ukwenza amakhaya abo apha, utshilo uPaleologos. Ngoloyiko lobunqolobi oluphezulu kwaye uninzi lwabantu baseOhio beziva bengakhuselekanga kunangaphambili, bakrazukile phakathi kokufuna ukubakhuphela ngaphandle abafuduki abangamaSilamsi kunye nokubeka ithemba kubamelwane babo abangamaSilamsi baseMelika.

Xa bebuzwa ukuba baziva bekhuselekile ukuhlala eMelika kunakwiminyaka emihlanu ukuya kweli-10 eyadlulayo, ama-55 eepesenti abantu baseOhio bathi bakhuselekile kancinane, abali-12 ekhulwini bakhuseleke ngakumbi, yaye abangama-32 ekhulwini bathi akukho lutshintsho. Abavoti baseOhio bathi umba wokuqala ojongene nomongameli olandelayo bubunqolobi kunye nokhuseleko lwesizwe (iipesenti ezingama-24), ilandelwa yimisebenzi / uqoqosho (iipesenti ezili-17), ukutyumba iijaji zeNkundla ePhakamileyo (iipesenti ezisi-8), ulwaphulo-mthetho / imipu (iipesenti ezisi-7), impilo ukhathalelo (iipesenti ezi-6), kunye neerhafu, inkululeko yoluntu, kunye nokunciphisa ityala lesizwe libotshelelwe kwipesenti ezi-5 inye.

Amashumi amahlanu anesihlanu eepesenti abavoti baseOhio baxhasa ukucetyiswa kukaClinton kwezixhobo zokuhlaselwa, ngelixa iipesenti ezingama-40 zichasene, kunye neepesenti ezi-4 ezingagqitywanga.

Ngokumalunga nophando lwe-FBI kwiprotocol ye-imeyile kaClinton ngexesha lenkonzo yakhe kwiSebe likaRhulumente, iipesenti ezingama-45 zathi bekufanele ukuba ubekwa ityala, ngelixa iipesenti ezingama-44 zazingavumi. Oku kufumanisa akuzange kuchaphazele ukuthembela kwabavoti ngokubanzi kwe-FBI, nangona kunjalo, njengoko iipesenti ezingama-60 zathi bayayithemba i-FBI iyonke, ngelixa iipesenti ezingama-27 zathi azinayo. Ezinye iiarhente / amasebe omdibaniso afumene amanqaku aphezulu ngaphezulu kuluhlu lwesibhozo: Iposi (iipesenti ezingama-83) kunye noMkhosi oxhobileyo wase-US (iipesenti ezingama-88).

Imbali

Uvoto lokugqibela lweYunivesithi yase Suffolk eOhio ngo-2012 lubonise iqhina phakathi kukaDemocrat u-Barack Obama kunye no-Mitt Romney we-Republican, nge-47 yeepesenti umntu ngamnye, no-Stein, Johnson, no-Richard Duncan ozimeleyo befumana i-1 yeepesenti nganye Iziphumo zokugqibela yayiziipesenti ezingama-51 zika-Obama, iRomney ipesenti ezingama-48, uJohnson ipesenti enye, kunye noStein ngaphantsi kwepesenti enye.

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