UMongameli uDonald Trump.I-BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI / AFP / imifanekiso kaFetty Kwiinyanga ezilithoba ezidlulileyo namhlanje, kuye kwavela ingxelo enesisa esithi ubudlelwane obusondeleyo phakathi kweKremlin kunye noMongameli onyuliweyo uDonald J. Trump, ngaloo ndlela kunyusa ezopolitiko zaseMelika. Ipapashwe nguBuzzFeed , ebizwa ngokuba nguSteele dossier waqhushumbisa umlilo waqinisekisa ukuba ubukrelekrele baseRussia buthe chu bonyusa umongameli onyuliweyo iminyaka kwaye baba neenkcukacha ezihlazo zobuqu nezemali kuloo mntu sele eza kungena e-White House.
Ukuba iMoscow inezinto ezinokubeka esichengeni, njengoko abantu baseRussia bethetha njalo kompompat , kuTrump kukhokelele kwimibuzo engathandekiyo ethi i-White House eyenziweyo isusile ibango lokuba yonke i-dossier iyinyani, ngumsebenzi odibeneyo. Umongameli ubize inkcukacha, iphepha elinamaphepha angama-35 iphepha lokukhohlisa, izinto ezenziwe ngokupheleleyo, kwaye wayigxotha iyonke njengeendaba ezingezizo, ukukhankanya ibinzana likaTrump alithandayo.
Umcimbi uthathe ukungxamiseka okuhlaziyiweyo ngoku iingxelo ukuba i-Steele dossier iphononongwa ngokusondeleyo nguMcebisi oKhethekileyo u-Robert Muller, kubandakanya nokuthumela abaphandi e-Bhritane ukuba baye kudliwanondlebe noChristopher Steele, umthumeli we-dossier. Umcebisi wezokhuseleko kunye negosa langaphambili leNkonzo yase-Bhritane eyimfihlo (eyaziwa ngokuba yi-MI6) onamava abonakalayo kwimicimbi yaseRussia, uSteele kucingelwa ukuba wayenokuninzi awakuthethayo.
Abaphandi bakaMueller bafuna ukwazi ngakumbi ngemvelaphi yedosi, malunga nokuhlala imibuzo-nangona isiseko esibalulekileyo sendlela eyabakho ngayo Sele icacile . Idosi kaSteele yinto enqabileyo ukuba ibonwe luluntu: uvavanyo oluhlaza, olungafakwanga ubukrelekrele boluntu. Olu luhlobo lwezinto ezihlanganiswe nguSteele ngexesha lenkonzo yakhe ye-MI6, ke ayothusi into yokuba waphinda lo msebenzi xa wayevavanya uxhulumaniso lukaTrump eKremlin.
Nangona kunjalo, iingxelo eziluhlaza ezifana ne-HUMINT aziqhelekanga kuluntu, ezijolise kwizimangalo ezifanelekileyo zikaSteele ezingaphezulu kwezobungqina bokusebenzisana phakathi kukaTrump noMoscow. Idossier, ekubeni ingumthombo wobukrelekrele obungacocwanga, enye yayo evela kwimithombo yesandla eRussia, ithathwa njengeyona ingcaciso ekhokelayo kuphela, oko kukuthi, indawo yokutsiba yophando olongezelelekileyo- hayi igama lokugqibela kuyo nantoni na. Njengengxelo ezimeleyo, ukusetyenziswa kwayo kuthintelwe kuye nawuphi na umhlalutyi wobukrelekrele onamava.
Ungayichazanga eyokuba bekusoloko kukho izizathu ezilungileyo zokuthandabuza ezinye zezityhilelo zikaSteele. Ngelixa ukubonakaliswa kwedosi yezopolitiko zaseKremlin-oko iintlola zikubiza ngokuba zi-atmosferi-kuyinyani engenakuphikwa, uninzi lwezinto ezichaziweyo azinakuqinisekiswa. Xa idosi yavela ngoJanuwari, igqala lomlindi waseKremlin uDavid Satter iqatshelwe ukuba yonke into eyenziwayo iphinde yacaphukisa iRussia, isenza ityala elinokubonakala kwabo baqondayo iiChekists.
U-Satter uqaphele ukuba i-dossier idibene kakuhle neenjongo zika-Vladimir Putin, ngakumbi esenza ezopolitiko zase-Amerika zibukrakra, zahlule, kwaye zingathandeki kangangoko kunokwenzeka, ngelixa zingatyhileki kakhulu. Ukuqwalaselwa kwayo malunga ne-Kremlin atmospherics, ngelixa ichanekile, ubukhulu becala yayihamba ngeenyawo. Ngaphaya koko, uSatter wenza umbono obalulekileyo malunga nebango elaziwa kakhulu ledosi ngokubhekisele kwiteyiphu yamanyala ekuthiwa yenziwa nguTrump kutyelelo luka-2013 eMoscow:
Inkcazo yokusetyenziswa koonongogo kukaTrump ukuchama ebhedini kwiRitz-Carlton Hotel eMoscow, apho iObamas yayilele khona, ibonakala ngendlela efanayo nomsebenzi 'wababhali beencwadi' kwiRussian Federal Security Service umsebenzi wayo kukuza ngamabali okuhlambalaza abantu ngaphandle kokujonga ukubonakala. Ukungena kwam kwiWikipedia kutshanje kutshintshiwe kwathiwa ndagxothwa eRashiya kwi2013 ngokuqhuba i-brothel kunye namantombazana angaphantsi kweminyaka. Isitayile siyafana.
Ewe kunjalo, kwaye ibango leposi-pee-pee ibango lijongwa ngokugculelwa ziintlola ezininzi zaseNtshona ezaziyo amaRashiya. Kusenokwenzeka ukuba iKremlin inayo kompompat kumongameli-imithombo ephezulu yobukrelekrele evela kumazwe aliqela iqinisekisile kum ukuba iividiyo ezingathandekiyo zikaTrump zikhona -kodwa akukho sizathu sokukholelwa ibango elithile likaSteele apha, ngaphandle kobungqina obubambekayo.
Uluvo lokuba idosi kaSteele imele umthambo kwi Umkhiqizi ukucaphukisa Iya ifaneleka ngakumbi xa uyijonga ngakumbi. Kuninzi kakhulu kwimikhwa yobukrelekrele baseRussia ukusasaza ulwazi oluninzi oluchanekileyo, ngamanye amaxesha ludaka, kwinkonzo yobuxoki obukhulu. Abalandela i-KGB banobuchule kakhulu ekuhlanganiseni i-disinformation ekhokelela kwimibuzo engaphezulu kuneempendulo zabaphandi baseNtshona. Alithandabuzeki elokuba le dossier yenze ubuqhetseba obukhulu bezopolitiko eWashington-kubandakanya amabango angacacanga angekaxazululwa okwangoku kwaye ngekhe abekho.
Thatha elinye lamabango okuqhushumba, oko kukuthi uMichael Cohen, igqwetha likaTrump, wadibana ngokufihlakeleyo namagosa aseKremlin ePrague e2016 ukulungelelanisa imisebenzi yepropaganda ukwenzakalisa iphulo likaHillary Clinton. Ngoku, siyazi ukuba iMoscow ngokuqinisekileyo yenzile tyhala ubuxoki obuninzi ngokuchasene noClinton ngo-2016, ngokusebenzisa iintlola, ii-troll ezikwi-Intanethi kunye nokusikwa njenge-Wikileaks. Sinokuqinisekisa ngoku inqanaba elithile lokudibana phakathi kwephulo likaTrump kunye nabantu baseRussia abanxibelelana neKremlin. Kwaye uCohen Ngokuqinisekileyo kubonakala ngathi unakho ubudlelwane obungathandabuzekiyo eRashiya obufanele ukuhlolwa.
Ngaphezu koko, kuyacaca ukuba intlanganiso yasePrague yenzekile. Ikomkhulu laseCzech, njengoko benditshilo ngaphambili, yindawo eshushu ye-espionage yomsebenzi waseRussia; Iintlola zaseKremlin ziya kuyithatha iPrague njengendawo ekhuselekileyo yaseYurophu kwintlanganiso efihlakeleyo neQela uTrump. Ungayichazanga eyokuba umgwebi obalulekileyo waseRussia okholelwa ukuba ubotshelelwe kwi-intanethi ye-2016 ngokuchasene noClinton ubanjiwe ePrague.
Kodwa ngaba intlanganiso ka-Agasti 2016 yenzekile? Cohen, kwangaphambili, uye wakhanyela ukuba kwenzeke nantoni na elolo hlobo, ilichitha ibango ledosi njengelobuxoki ngokupheleleyo. Inokuba uthetha inyani, okanye ubuncinci benyani. Kwizithende zokupapashwa kweBuzzFeed yedosi, Iindaba zeendaba ixelwe ukuba ubukrelekrele base-Estonia buhlole intlanganiso yasePrague, becaphula igosa lezobuntlola laseNtshona elingachazwanga. ILizwi lasasazeka ngokukhawuleza kwimijikelezo yeentlola ukuba obu bubungqina bebango likaSteele.
Ngaphandle kokuba ayenzi njalo. I-Estonia ineenkonzo zokuhlola, kodwa zigqwesa kubukrelekrele nakubukrelekrele bezobugcisa. Ukufikelela kwabo kulinganiselwe, njengoko umntu enokulindela kwilizwe elinabantu abasisi-1.3 sezigidi kuphela. Akukho mntu ndimaziyo kwizangqa zokhuseleko zaseTallinn owakhe weva ngama-Estonia ayihlola intlanganiso ePrague ekude-into engenakwenzeka ngokunikwa ubungakanani belizwe elincinci, apho wonke umntu kwi-arhente yezokhuseleko azi wonke umntu
Ungayichazanga eyokuba amaEstonia ngekhe alinge ukuqhuba ubuqhetseba ePrague ngokwabo, into eziyibiza ngokuba ziintlola. IRiphabhlikhi yaseCzech lilungu elinye leNATO kunye neManyano yaseYurophu, kwaye iTallinn ngeyayazisile iPrague ngezicwangciso zayo zobuntlola, kwaye inokuba yayijike yaba yimpimpi ehlangeneyo yaseCzech-Estonia nxamnye nabaseRussia. Kwakhona, akukho mntu ePrague ndiyazi ukuba weva nantoni na ngolu hlobo lwento eyenzeka ngo-Agasti 2016.
Ngaphezulu koko, kunokwenzeka kakhulu ukuba ama-Estonia (kunye namaCzechs) ngebazise i-Embassy yase-US ePrague ngokusebenza kwabo ngokudibeneyo, kuba iithagethi zazibandakanya abantu baseMelika-abanye babo babebambelele ngokusondeleyo kulonyulo lobongameli be-Republican. Ke, iintlola zaseMelika ngeba zazibandakanyekile ekusebenzeni, kwaye nabantu abaninzi ngebeyazile. Akukho mntu ndimaziyo kuluntu lwethu lwezobuntlola owakhe weva nantoni malunga nentlanganiso yasePrague.
Ukushwankathela, kukho zonke izizathu zokucinga ukuba iqela likaTrump lidibene nabantu baseRussia ngo-2016, kodwa akukho bungqina bokuba intlanganiso yasePrague yenzeke ngo-Agasti waloo nyaka. Ngeli xesha, zininzi iingcebiso ezomeleleyo ezingakhange ziyenze. Kuyenzeka ngokupheleleyo ukuba uMichael Cohen adibane ngasese nabameli baseKremlin kwezinye iidolophu zaseYurophu-akukho mntu ulaziyo eli bali unokumangaliswa yile-kodwa ukukhanyela kukaCohen apha kunokuba nokuchaneka.
Ifayile kaSteele kufuneka iphathwe ngononophelo. I-Kremlin kudala iqhuba ibali elinzima kunye- ukudala iqela ngokuxuba ulwazi oluchanekileyo kunye ne-disinformation -Ukubhidanisa ubukrelekrele baseNtshona, kwaye banokuba benze kakuhle apha. Abo bafuna ubunyani bobudlelwane bukaDonald Trump neMoscow kufuneka bajonge i-dossier njengendawo yokutsiba yophando ngakumbi kwaye kungabi njalo. Ngaphandle koko, unokulahleka ngokukhawuleza kwinto yokubala yexesha elibekiweyo Intlango yezibuko .
UJohn Schindler yingcali yezokhuseleko kunye nowayesakuba ngumhlalutyi weArhente yoKhuseleko kuZwelonke kunye negosa lobukrelekrele. Ingcali kwezobuntlola kunye nobunqolobi, ukwaligosa lomkhosi wamanzi kunye nenjingalwazi yeWar College. Upapashe iincwadi ezine kwaye uku-Twitter ku @ 20committee.
Ngakumbi nguJohn Schindler:
Iingxelo zityhila uXolo loKhuseleko kwi-Arhente kaZwelonke yoKhuseleko
Ubunqolobi beFlegi Yobuxoki: Intsomi kunye neNyaniso
Abafileyo Bacula Ngokungcola Emilonyeni Yabo
