UDonald Trump kwingxoxo-mpikiswano yokuqala ye-GOP. (Ifoto: UJustin Sullivan wemifanekiso kaGetty) IJeb kufuneka ibonise amandla. UCarson kufuneka abe ligosa likarhulumente. UTrump kufuneka… u… njengoTrump kangangoko.
Zininzi izinto ezishushu ezithatha malunga nengxoxo yesithathu kumabonakude yale ndawo iphambili yaseRiphabhlikhi, nangona le nto ingumboniso omnye kwi-CNBC ngokuhlwanje ngekhe abone ukuba ngubani ophuma njengonyuliweyo, makungabikho namnye oguqula imeko ekhethekileyo yalo nyaka: abantu bangaphandle abanyukayo, abangaphakathi bayaphela.
Kodwa kuya kuhlala ixesha elingakanani? Yintoni efanele ivotelwe ngabavoti, iipundits kunye nababukeli abaqhelekileyo njengoko bebukele intsimi yesayizi engazange ibonwe ngaphambili kunye ne-swagger ukuyikhupha kwiTV kwakhona? UMqwalaseli ulapha ukuze abonelele ngoncedo oluncinci.
Iowa, Iowa, Iowa
Ayisiyiprayimari yesizwe le, ke yeka ukusasaza kunye nokukhathazeka ngaphezulu ukhetho lwelizwe . Inkqubo yengxoxo-mpikiswano ngokuhlwanje kufuneka ijongwe kwiilensi zamazwe okuqala okuvota kuphela. UBen Carson, ugqirha we-neurosurgeon osethathe umhlala-phantsi owaziwa ngokuthelekisa izinto ezininzi ezikhululekileyo kwiJamani yamaNazi, akanguye umgaqo-nkqubo, kwaye uphawu lwakhe lokumisa i-conservatism alunakuphumelela ukuba uzama ukuzilolonga. Ayizukunceda ukubonisa ukuzibamba kwimeko enye anokuyiphumelela kakhulu, eIowa, apho abavoti bevangeli bethandana noMnu. Carson banikezela uloyiso kubagqatswa ngo-2008 nango-2012 abasikwa kwilaphu elinye, uMike Huckabee noRick Santorum . Ukukhokela kwakhe e-Iowa ngaphezulu kukaMnu.Trump kubalulekile kuba uMnu Carson luhlobo lweRiphabhlikhi onokuthi aphumelele apho- kunye noMnu.Trump, usozigidigidi waseNew York onezikhundla ezikhohlisayo kuyo nayiphi na into engeyiyo eyokufudukela kwelinye ilizwe, ayisiyiyo kwaphela Iowan. Akukho mgqatswa njengoTrump owakhe waphumelela ukutyunjwa, kwaye lixesha lokuba uqalise ukucinga malunga nokuvota kwangoko apho anokukhubeka khona. Kungenxa yoko le nto uSen. Ted Cruz waseTexas – umntu olondolozayo ongahambelaniyo nokufudukela kwelinye ilizwe njengoMnu.Trump kwaye ubuncinci unombono osemthethweni oza neofisi ekhethiweyo- ngomnye umgqatswa oza kubukela ngokuhlwanje. Yena noMnumzana Carson balwela uninzi lweekhokhasi ezifanayo e-Iowa, kwaye akunakwenzeka ukuba bacinge bobabini begqitha kuMnumzana Trump kurhulumente xa konke kusenziwa.
Ngubani Ophalwayo Kumhlambi?
Ngelixa ukubaluleka kwengxoxo-mpikiswano inokuthi ibexiwe, umboniso oqinileyo unokunceda ngokunyusa ingxowa-mali kunye nokuvota okwethutyana xa umgqatswa enomzuzu ophawuleka lula owetyiswa kwimidiya yoluntu. Abagqatswa abafuna ngamandla amaxesha-eSen. Rand Paul, Gov. Chris Christie, Gov. John Kasich – ngokuhlwanje kungaba lixesha lokugqibela abanomdla kulo. Njengoko sibonile ngo-Septemba ngo-Gov. Scott Walker ukuphuma, isenzo esinyamalalayo sikamabonakude sinokuba sisibetho entliziyweni yephulo. Kuyenzeka kakhulu ukuba le mpikiswano ivelise enye i-Walker-yeRiphabhlikhi eyangena ebaleni ine-bluster eninzi kwaye yakhawuleza yahamba. Ngokungafaniyo noMnumzana Kasich, olawula ilizwe elibukhali kwaye esenza umdlalo onzima, onzima kwiimodareyitha zaseNew Hampshire, iphulo likaChristie noPaul bakwinkxaso yobomi. Amajelo eendaba agqithisile amandla ombutho wenkululeko kwaye uMnu Paul, esopha imali, ujongeka ngathi ukhutshelwe ngaphandle e-Iowa, apho aqhuqhumba khona. Umnumzana uChristie akanabali lempumelelo eNew Jersey anokulithengisa, kwaye uMnu Trump kudala wazomeleza njengomvukeli wentetho yokwenene yomdyarho. Nditsho noCarly Fiorina, owayesakuba ngumphathi we-Hewlett-Packard owayenethuba lokuphumelela kwingxoxo-mpikiswano yesibini, umbonile emi kwisilayidi sokuvota, kwaye ukuba akazimelanga ngokuhlwanje, ubugqwirha bakhe bunokuphazamiseka ngokukhawuleza kunokuba wayenethemba . Khangela ubuncinci kula maRiphabhlikhi ukuba usondele kufutshane nenzonzobila (ungagijimeli umongameli, ungaveli kumabonwakude wesizwe) ngomso kusasa.
Ivelaphi i-Sunshine State Guys ukusuka apha?
Owayesakuba nguRhulumente waseFlorida uJeb Bush usengxakini. Khange akwazi ukushukumisa ithegi yamandla asezantsi uMnu Trump wambetha kwaye abanikeli baya besoyika. Abavoti beDemokhrasi kunye neRiphabhlikhi babonakala ngathi abanamdla kwaphela komnye uBush kwiNdlu yeWhite House. Ngokungafaniyo nomntakwabo omdala, akangomkhankaso wendalo, kwaye uyasilela ukonwabisa amaRiphabhlikhi asezantsi avota kumabanga aphantsi, ngaphandle kwerekhodi lakhe njengomgaqo onzima wokugcina eFlorida. Ewe, uMitt Romney ngo-2012 wayephikisana neengxaki ezininzi ezifanayo, kodwa wayebalekela umngcelele omncinci wabaviwa abonakeleyo abangazange bakwazi ukukhuphisana nokuqokelela imali. Ku Mnu. Bush, ukhuphiswano luyinto eyoyikekayo, kwaye ukusebenza kubuthathaka kule mpikiswano yanamhlanje- impendulo ebambekayo yokuxhatshazwa kuka Mnu Trump okanye i-gaffe epakishwe ngokulula kuhlaselo lwe-Democrat-iya kubangela abathandabuzi kuphela.
UMnu Bush unenye ingxaki egama linguMarco Rubio. UMnu Rubio, usenator waseFlorida ngubani ukuthiyile ukuba lilungu leNdlu yeeNgwevu , yiyo yonke into uMnu Bush ayiyiyo: mncinci, i-telegenic, yomelele esiqwini, kwaye engaqhelekanga kakubi ekukhuliseni imali . Zombini zithanda, okanye zithandile, uhlobo oluthile lwenguqulelo yokufudukela kwelinye ilizwe, kwaye oku kunokubatshabalalisa ekugqibeleni. Kodwa uMnu Rubio ngumphathi-mpikiswano onobuchule okonyukayo ozinzileyo kwiipolls, kwaye ngokwembali luhlobo lomgqatswa onokuphumelela iphrayimari yaseRiphabhlikhi. Ubusuku obufanelekileyo bukaMnu Rubio-kunye nehlwempuzekileyo kuMnu Bush-kunokuthetha ukuba iFloridian kunye neeklasi zokunikela zabacinga nzulu malunga nokuphosa inkulu kunye ne-senator. Sele simazi uHillary Clinton woyika umdlalo kunye noMnu Rubio, kwaye unelinye ithuba kwingxoxo-mpikiswano ukubonisa ukuba kutheni. Kwicala elisezantsi, abanye abagqatswa banokuthi bamdibanise, kwaye asazi okwangoku ukuba iRiphabhlikhi yamakhwenkwe iyakuyiphatha njani ithagethi emqolo.
Ukubhengezwa: Umkhwenyana kaMnu Trump, uJared Kushner, ngumshicileli we-Braganca Media.
